arXiv Machine Learning By Kanghui Ning, Marin Bilo\v{s}, James T. Wilson, Yilang Zhang, Kashif Rasul, Dongjin Song, Anderson Schneider, Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Test-Time Compute for Tabular Foundation Models: Mechanisms, Gains, and Limits

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The paper investigates how test‑time compute techniques—adaptation, aggregation, and context construction—can improve predictions of pretrained tabular foundation models (TFMs). It introduces DiagScale, a lightweight adaptation method that trains a minuscule fraction of parameters yet matches full fine‑tuning gains, and shows that selective aggregation of predictions from diverse preprocessing variants can reduce error, while broader context expansion offers inconsistent benefits. The study concludes that adaptation and selective aggregation consistently yield benchmark‑level improvements, but their combined use demands more computation, guiding strategy selection based on available resources.

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