arXiv:2606. 02138v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Out of distribution (OOD) events in multivariate time series forecasting are rare but often dominate real world risk, making average case forecasting insufficient for reliable deployment.
arXiv:2609.38058v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) currently provide state-of-the-art results in forecasting tasks. They are available out-of-the-box and rely on...
arXiv:2606. 16076v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate forecasting in physical systems requires models that predict coupled temporal variables while preserving meaningful state evolution.
arXiv:2608. 16098v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon.
arXiv:2507. 23615v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data augmentation is becoming increasingly important across various areas of time series analysis, including forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection.
WorldTS is a new forecasting framework that models latent dynamics conditioned on multimodal covariates to improve time‑series prediction. It uses a two‑stage training process: first learning latent state dynamics from historical data and covariates, then training a decoder to map predicted latent states back to future observations. Experiments on 21 real‑world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.
arXiv:2607. 00958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series are central to modern data mining applications, from industrial telemetry and server metrics to finance and physiology, yet time-series self-supervised learning often depends on view and augmentation choices that encode domain-specific invariances.
HALO introduces a hyperspherical VAE to constrain continuous latent representations to a fixed‑radius shell, stabilizing numerical fluctuations. It then employs a masked autoregressive model that balances parallel decoding with temporal correlation learning, reducing inference steps and improving stability. Experiments show HALO achieves state‑of‑the‑art generation performance with significantly better inference efficiency compared to existing baselines.
arXiv:2607. 25459v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Mechanistic interpretability has largely focused on language models and deterministic toy tasks.
arXiv:2602. 04643v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-series anomaly prediction aims to forecast future system failures before they fully emerge, making latent predictive models such as JEPA a promising framework for capturing precursor dynamics.
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.
arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.