arXiv AI

L-GTA: Latent Generative Modeling for Time Series Augmentation

arXiv:2507. 23615v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data augmentation is becoming increasingly important across various areas of time series analysis, including forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection.

arXiv Machine Learning
4d ago

HALO: Enhancing Time Series Generation via Hyperspherical Latents and Masked AutoregRessive Modeling

HALO introduces a hyperspherical VAE to constrain continuous latent representations to a fixed‑radius shell, stabilizing numerical fluctuations. It then employs a masked autoregressive model that balances parallel decoding with temporal correlation learning, reducing inference steps and improving stability. Experiments show HALO achieves state‑of‑the‑art generation performance with significantly better inference efficiency compared to existing baselines.

By Chunyi Hou, Xiangfei Qiu, Hanyin Cheng, Yutong Li, Bin Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

REGEN: Reference-Guided Synthetic Multivariate Time Series Generation for Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 05264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences.

By Moulik Gupta (Birla AI Labs), Dhruv Kumar (Birla AI Labs, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani), Murari Mandal (Birla AI Labs, Kalinga Institute of Industrial Technology), Saurabh Deshpande (Birla AI Labs)
arXiv AI
Jul 23

Structured Latent Space Modeling over Multi-Scale Temporal Patches for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 19404v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series encode structural patterns that unfold across multiple temporal scales, yet most forecasting backbones treat learned representations as transient byproducts of prediction, leaving the organizational geometry of these patterns underexploited.

By Xingsheng Chen, Deyu Yi, Siu-Ming Yiu
arXiv AI
2d ago

ProtoFlow: Prototype-Guided Flow Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

ProtoFlow is a new multivariate time series forecasting framework that combines vector‑quantized autoencoding with prototype‑guided flow matching. It maps sequences into a discrete latent space, constructs a structured prior from the learned VQ codebook, and trains a DiT‑based rectified flow to transport samples from this prior to future latent representations conditioned on past observations. By replacing generic Gaussian noise with a learned prototype prior, ProtoFlow eliminates autoregressive rollout mismatch and achieves faster training convergence while delivering superior forecasting performance on benchmark datasets.

By Shibo Feng, Wanjin Feng, Yang Qiu, Deheng Ye, Peilin Zhao, Chunyan Miao
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

WorldTS: World Modeling for Multimodal Covariate-aware Time Series Forecasting

WorldTS is a new forecasting framework that models latent dynamics conditioned on multimodal covariates to improve time‑series prediction. It uses a two‑stage training process: first learning latent state dynamics from historical data and covariates, then training a decoder to map predicted latent states back to future observations. Experiments on 21 real‑world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.

By Yuhan Zhu, Xiangfei Qiu, Hanyin Cheng, Wangmeng Shen, Chenjuan Guo, Bin Yang, Jilin Hu, Christian S. Jensen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

One Step Closer to Ground Truth: A Multi-Scale Residual-Aware Representation Learning Pipeline for Predicting Time Series Data

arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.

By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

Sliding-Window Reordering with Overlap Averaging: A Simple Time-Domain Augmentation for Multivariate Forecasting

The paper introduces a simple, model‑agnostic time‑domain augmentation called Sliding‑Window Reordering with Overlap Averaging. It transforms the joint input‑target sequence into overlapping windows, randomly reorders a fraction of them based on a variance criterion, and reconstructs the sequence by averaging overlaps to generate synthetic samples with controlled variation and minimal temporal distortion. Experiments show strong performance gains across nine long‑term forecasting benchmarks and four short‑term traffic benchmarks, with detailed ablations and diagnostics highlighting the effectiveness of each design choice.

By Jafar Bakhshaliyev, Johannes Burchert, Niels Landwehr, Lars Schmidt-Thieme
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systems

arXiv:2501. 04339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce the Deep Convolutional Interpreter for Time Series (DCIts), a deep-learning architecture for nonlinear multivariate time series that provides sample-specific, locally interpretable descriptions of the underlying interaction structure.

By Domjan Baric, Davor Horvatic