arXiv Machine Learning

LeNEPA: No-Augmentation Next-Latent Prediction for Time-Series Representation Learning

arXiv:2607. 00958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series are central to modern data mining applications, from industrial telemetry and server metrics to finance and physiology, yet time-series self-supervised learning often depends on view and augmentation choices that encode domain-specific invariances.

arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 11

NCP-ArchPreview Technical Report: Moving towards Latent Space Language Models through Next Concept Prediction

NCP-ArchPreview is a latent‑space language model that extends standard next‑token prediction (NTP) with a Next Concept Prediction (NCP) objective, allowing the model to predict discrete concepts spanning multiple tokens. The architecture builds a product‑quantized concept vocabulary from hidden states, uses a dedicated Concept Module to forecast future concepts, and feeds these predictions back to guide token‑level generation, all trained jointly end‑to‑end. Trained on 5.73 T tokens with 8.9 B parameters, it achieves the final pretraining loss of OLMo‑3‑7B using only 51.3 % of the tokens, outperforms OLMo‑3‑7B on downstream tasks (including a 5.99‑point GSM8K gain), and demonstrates that the learned latent space enables lightweight domain adaptation and improved drafting performance.

By NCP Team, Jiaqi Cao, Chiyu Chen, Shuang Cheng, Xu Cheng, Beiya Dai, Yufan Feng, Kewen Ge, Ruijun Ge, Jiayi Huang, Yang Jiao, Dahua Lin, Zhouhan Lin, Yifan Liu, Yuliang Liu, Biqing Qi, Mowen Ruan, Junzhe Shen, Yunchong Song, Hao Sun, Zhongbo Tian, Yixuan Wang, Rubin Wei, Jiaxin Xiong, Kangyu Yang, Qian Yao, Qi Zhang, Bowen Zhou
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

Aurora-X: Built for Extreme Time Series Forecasting

Aurora‑X is a billion‑parameter time‑series foundation model designed for extreme forecasting tasks. It employs a progressive curriculum that starts with channel‑independent pretraining, then adds cross‑variable dependencies, variable context and horizon lengths, and optional future covariates during mid‑training. A variable‑resolution post‑training stage allows adjustable temporal spans per token at inference, while a pattern‑guided mixture‑of‑experts expands capacity through sparse activation and expert specialization. An implicit quantile network head predicts arbitrary quantiles, enhancing probabilistic forecasting flexibility. Experiments on GIFT‑Eval, TIME, FEV‑Bench, TFB, and DAG‑Bench show state‑of‑the‑art performance against both pretrained TSFMs and task‑specific supervised models.

By Xingjian Wu, Chenjuan Guo, Xiangfei Qiu, Zhigang Hu, Hanyin Cheng, Peng Chen, Yang Shu, Jilin Hu, Bin Yang
arXiv AI
4d ago

Channel-Dependent State Space Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

The paper introduces Chameleon, a channel‑dependent state space model for multivariate time series forecasting that allows data‑dependent, fine‑grained interactions across variables while maintaining linear scaling with the number of variables. By integrating selective state space models with a Kalman filter and adapting GatedDeltaNet as the backbone, Chameleon improves generalization and achieves lower MSE and MAE on strongly dependent ODE and PEMS datasets compared to both channel‑independent and prior channel‑dependent methods. Across 28 benchmark settings, it outperforms baselines in the majority of cases and demonstrates competitive training‑time and memory efficiency on Traffic and ETT datasets.

By Yu-Cheng Wu, Fan-Keng Sun, Li-Chun Lu, Duane S. Boning
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

CF-JEPA: Mask-free forward prediction with asymmetric encoder utilization for time-series representation learning

arXiv:2606. 07031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-supervised learning (SSL) for time-series representation learning is dominated by two paradigms: contrastive methods, which face challenges in constructing positive or negative pairs, and masking-based methods, which disrupt the temporal continuity of time-series signals.

By Jaehoon Lee, Sunghyun Sim