The paper investigates how pre‑training strategy, dataset size, and domain affect uncertainty estimation in vision medical foundation models. It compares point‑prediction calibration with conformal (region) prediction across retinal, histopathological, and chest X‑ray models, finding that domain‑specific, self‑supervised pre‑training yields better calibration and more efficient conformal sets. The study shows that standard recalibration alone cannot fully reconcile uncertainty differences between models trained on different data sources.
In high-stakes healthcare applications, machine learning models are frequently trained on data from one patient population and deployed on another, creating a distribution shift that degrades both acc...
arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.
arXiv:2505. 08784v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: As machine learning (ML) enters high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for safety.
arXiv:2606. 15910v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A vision-language model can answer a question about a chest radiograph or a pathology slide fluently and confidently while barely using the image, relying instead on language priors.
arXiv:2605. 20468v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective medication management in Parkinson's Disease (PD) is challenging due to heterogeneous disease progression, variable patient response, and medication side effects.
MVC-Bench is a calibration-focused benchmark for medical vision‑language models, evaluating how well these models express confidence across different modalities, backbones, and domain shifts. It tests robustness to modality, backbone, and domain changes, the effectiveness of calibration and prompt‑tuning strategies, and stability under prompt‑template and random‑seed variations. The benchmark includes 1638 experiments, reporting accuracy and Expected Calibration Error (ECE) along with other calibration metrics, and introduces a simple train‑time calibration method, Multi‑Class Margin (MCM) regularization, that achieves the lowest ECE in most settings.
arXiv:2605. 18419v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Vision-language models (VLMs) can couple visual perception with open-ended clinical reasoning, making them attractive for computational histopathology.
MVC-Bench is a new benchmark designed to evaluate the calibration of vision‑language models (VLMs) and medical VLMs (Medical‑VLMs) for medical image classification. It tests calibration across robustness to modality, backbone, and domain shift; effectiveness of calibration strategies and prompt‑tuning methods; and stability under prompt‑template and random‑seed variations. The benchmark includes eight backbones, three medical modalities (fundus imaging, histopathology, chest X‑ray), and compares post‑hoc, train‑time, and zero‑shot calibration approaches, reporting accuracy, Expected Calibration Error (ECE), Maximum Calibration Error (MCE), and Adaptive Calibration Error (ACE) over 1,638 experiments, while also proposing a Multi‑Class Margin (MCM) regularization technique that improves ECE in most settings.
arXiv:2604. 15271v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for medical image segmentation, where automated contours feed downstream quantification and clinical decision support.
arXiv:2608. 14766v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty estimation is critical for the safe clinical deployment of deep learning in medical image segmentation, with aleatoric uncertainty theoretically designed to capture irreducible data ambiguity.
arXiv:2603. 18846v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Foundation models are used to extract transferable representations from large amounts of unlabeled data, typically via self-supervised learning (SSL).
arXiv:2606. 15837v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep neural networks (DNNs) frequently fail to generalize to out-of-distribution (OOD) medical images because of variations in scanners and acquisition protocols.