arXiv Machine Learning

Probabilistic learning to perform pre-onset individualised prediction of disease severity: application to Veno Occlusive Disease

arXiv:2606. 06516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We advance a new probabilistic supervised learning approach that permits reliable, automated, and early individualised prediction of the severity with which a disease will develop in a prospective patient.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Development and Validation of a Dynamic Kidney Failure Prediction Model based on Deep Learning: A Real-World Study with External Validation

arXiv:2501. 16388v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD), a progressive disease with high morbidity and mortality, has become a significant global public health problem.

By Jingying Ma, Jinwei Wang, Lanlan Lu, Zhiqin Jiang, Mengling Feng, Feifei Zhang, Peng Shen, Yexiang Sun, Shenda Hong, Luxia Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

CalTwin: Towards Calibrated, Shift-Robust Medical World Models via Fisher-Information Regularisation

arXiv:2607. 26752v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Medical world models aim to learn a latent state of patient or organ physiology and a transition function that forecasts how that state evolves under interventions, supporting downstream tasks from imaging-based diagnosis to digital-twin treatment planning.

By Behraj Khan, Shabir Ahmad, Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari, Tahir Qasim Syed
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

OmniMed-Jev: Calibrating LVLM Confidence for Trustworthy Medical Multimodal Decisions via System One

OmniMed-Jev is a new medical multimodal model that represents each decision as a Choice, Noul, or Score over a runtime-supplied candidate set, returning a full probability distribution for each decision. By unifying diverse imaging modalities and prediction tasks into a single candidate-conditioned probability model, it makes heterogeneous outputs comparable probabilities rather than task-specific strings. In controlled comparisons against a generative baseline, OmniMed-Jev’s reported probabilities align more closely with observed correctness, reducing calibration error by up to an order of magnitude and reliability error by up to two, while maintaining comparable point-prediction performance.

By Luyao Tang, Cheng Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Mr.Dec: Daily-Scale Longitudinal Multimodal Modeling for 30-Day Readmission Prediction

Mr.Dec is a new Transformer‑decoder model that predicts 30‑day hospital readmission by treating each admission as a chronological sequence of daily multimodal events, integrating Electronic Health Record updates and Chest X‑ray findings. It uses disease‑specific supervised contrastive learning to shape a diagnosis‑aware latent space and preserves day‑level clinical signals that other methods often compress. Experiments on MIMIC‑IV and MIMIC‑CXR datasets show state‑of‑the‑art performance and the model can highlight "Critical Days" for actionable real‑time risk stratification.

By Minjun Kim, Jong Hak Moon
arXiv AI
Jul 21

Retrieval-Augmented Interpretable Learning: Towards Task-Specific Zero-Shot Models in Healthcare

arXiv:2607. 17508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce Retrieval-Augmented Interpretable Learning (RAIL), a probabilistic meta-learning framework for zero-shot generation of task-specific interpretable models that synthesizes coefficient-space structure from natural-language task descriptions and a memory of previously learned task-specific predictors.

By Sazan Mahbub, Caleb Ellington, Zhiyuan Li, Yixin Yang, Souvik Kundu, Ben Lengerich, Eric P. Xing