NOAH is a generative transformer that models the entire multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space to capture continuous, stochastic clinical trajectories. Trained on over 559 million events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual simulations, yielding strong predictive performance across 15 ICD chapters, 29 comorbidities, and time‑to‑event outcomes.
NOAH is a generative transformer that learns the full multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space. Trained on over 559 million clinical events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual intervention simulation, yielding strong performance on clinical outcomes, ICD chapters, comorbidities, and time‑to‑event prediction.
By Tobias Susetzky, Raphael Rehms, Dmitrii Seletkov, \"Ozg\"un Turgut, Michelle Espranita Liman, Lisa Steinhelfer, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert
arXiv:2506. 04831v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Forecasting how a patient's condition is likely to evolve, including possible deterioration, recovery, treatment needs, and care transitions, could support more proactive and personalized care, but requires modeling heterogeneous and longitudinal electronic health record (EHR) data.
By Chantal Pellegrini, Ege \"Ozsoy, David Bani-Harouni, Matthias Keicher, Nassir Navab
arXiv:2607. 09982v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electronic health record (EHR) data are inherently multimodal, and leveraging multiple modalities can improve predictive performance.
By Nikkie Hooman, Zhongjie Wu, Eric C. Larson, Mehak Gupta
arXiv:2607. 15447v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent research in clinical machine learning, focusing on outcome predictions in intensive care unit (ICU), has shifted from bespoke supervised models to foundation models, utilising modern representation learning methods.
By Jingteng Li, Alexander Capstick, Louise Rigny, Iona Biggart, Neil J Sebire, Payam Barnaghi
arXiv:2603.08459v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Safe predictions are a crucial requirement for integrating predictive models into clinical decision support systems. One approach to improving trus...
By L. Juli\'an Lechuga L\'opez, Tim G. J. Rudner, Farah E. Shamout
arXiv:2607. 22264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Autoregressive foundation models trained on tokenized electronic health records (EHRs) can support zero-shot clinical prediction, yet most operate on structured event codes alone, and do not incorporate multiple modalities in a principled way.
By Yuxuan Liu, Joshua Placidi, Jinpei Han, Alfred John Balston, Marek Rei, A. Aldo Faisal
MultiSigBERT is a unified framework that performs multimodal sequential survival modeling in oncology by integrating narrative clinical reports, numerical measurements, and structured variables. The method converts free-text reports into sentence embeddings, compresses them with modality-specific PCA, and concatenates them with structured covariates to create joint temporal trajectories. These trajectories are encoded using the Signature transform from Rough Paths theory, and the resulting high-dimensional features are fed into a LASSO-regularized Cox model, achieving a concordance index of 0.743 on an independent test set of over 2,500 patients.
By Paul Minchella, St\'ephane Chr\'etien, Guillaume Metzler, Lo\"ic Verlingue, R\'emi Vaucher
arXiv:2608. 13518v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many clinical prediction models treat post-intervention outcomes as a one-step mapping from baseline measurements to a future endpoint.
By Yunsung Chung, Yingshuo Liu, Abboud F. Hassan, Han Feng, Mary M. Maleckar, Nassir Marrouche, Jihun Hamm
Many clinical prediction models treat post-intervention outcomes as a one-step mapping from baseline measurements to a future endpoint. However, recovery after a procedure often unfolds as an irregular trajectory: clinical observations, medication changes, repeat interventions, and physiological measurements are recorded asynchronously and can change risk assessment over time.
arXiv:2606. 28798v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Objective: ICD codes are central to reimbursement, research, and population health surveillance, yet automated coding systems often struggle to integrate diagnostic signals from both clinical narratives and structured electronic health record (EHR) variables.
By Chengyuan Liu, Xinyue Zhang, Yao Li, Guanting Chen
arXiv:2602. 00541v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Clinical events captured in Electronic Health Records (EHR) are irregularly sampled and may consist of a mixture of discrete events and numerical measurements, such as laboratory values or treatment dosages.
By Zilin Jing, Vincent Jeanselme, Yuta Kobayashi, Simon A. Lee, Chao Pang, Aparajita Kashyap, Yanwei Li, Xinzhuo Jiang, Shalmali Joshi