The paper introduces a framework that distinguishes two causes of saturation in clinical prediction: a learner gap, where the model fails to use available information, and a measurement‑channel ceiling, where the recorded variables limit performance. It provides theoretical characterizations, finite‑sample diagnostics, and empirical audits across three large cohorts, showing that well‑tuned models approach the frontier while deficient learners leave large gaps. A PRISMA‑guided synthesis across 104 tasks reveals consistent channel‑level patterns, suggesting that improving the learner or the measurement channel can audit and potentially lift performance.
By Sayeed Shafayet Chowdhury, Nusrat Jahan, Snehasis Mukhopadhyay, Shiaofen Fang, Vijay R. Ramakrishnan
arXiv:2607. 28608v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Clinical risk models routinely achieve strong aggregate performance while producing materially different error rates across patient subgroups.
By Sparsh Roy, Samuel Girmachew, Nishita Chavan
The paper introduces Cros, a risk‑constrained stopping layer for sequential clinical diagnosis agents that determines when to stop testing and make a diagnosis. Cros combines state‑wise error ranking, policy design on disjoint development splits, and exact tests of selective diagnostic error to provide finite‑sample guarantees. On a MIMIC‑derived abdominal‑pain benchmark, Cros achieves higher state‑error AUROC and lower selective error rates compared to baseline stopping methods, though its performance varies across development resplits.
By Yuexin Wu, Vasile Rus
arXiv:2606. 03198v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Clinical AI evaluation increasingly delegates scoring to large language models (LLMs) acting as AI raters, yet their scoring behavior across evaluation conditions has not been quantitatively characterized.
By Sangwon Baek, Kyu Yeon Hur, Kyunga Kim
arXiv:2603. 24481v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Miscalibrated confidence scores are a practical obstacle to deploying AI in clinical settings.
By John Ray B. Martinez
arXiv:2607. 18828v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Readiness stress-testing of medical AI has focused on closed-ended and multimodal benchmarks.
By Koyar Afrasyab
AI Morbidity and Mortality (AI M&M) is a structured, blameless framework designed to review clinical AI failures. It combines standardized case intake, evidence preservation, investigator reconstruction, tool‑in‑loop attribution, and corrective‑action tracking, classifying each event across four linked dimensions: Trigger, Mechanism, Clinical Pathway, and Corrective Action. The authors demonstrate the framework with five outpatient medication and clinical decision‑support cases, achieving full agreement among reviewers on all classification axes.
By Paulius Mui, Dean F. Sittig, Steve Labkoff, Sanjay Basu
arXiv:2607. 15166v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Most medical AI benchmarks measure whether a model knows the correct answer.
By Goktug Ozkan
arXiv:2606.09030v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Clinical early warning systems built on irregularly sampled medical time series (ISMTS) from electronic health records must deliver continuou...
By Hyeongwon Jang, Gyouk Chu, Changhun Kim, Hangyul Yoon, Jeonguk Lee, Eunho Yang, Joonhyung Park
arXiv:2607. 24371v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Healthcare interoperability requires AI systems to produce structured outputs conforming to standardized schemas including ICD-10 for diagnostic coding, CPT for procedure billing, and HL7 FHIR for data exchange.
By Jianru Shen
FairGlucose is a 300‑patient CGM cohort balanced across 12 demographic strata, providing 132,480 forecasting samples and 3,945 behavioral events. Benchmarking 33 models on 2‑hour glucose forecasting revealed that population‑level validation masks significant subgroup disparities, with error ratios ranging from 0.8 to 1.4 and T1D patients experiencing 6 mg/dL higher error than T2D. The study shows that these gaps persist across all models, align with clinically hard cases, and vary with input‑length sensitivity, underscoring the need for subgroup‑disaggregated reporting in digital health AI.
By Junjie Luo, Xuzhe Zhi, Rui Han, Abhimanyu Kumbara, Anand K. Iyer, Mansur E. Shomali, Ritu Agarwal, Guodong Gordon Gao
arXiv:2608. 03862v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Emergency triage requires reliable decisions within a short time period.
By Guan Qiang, Yushen Chen, Tianlong Liu, David Rotenberg, Ethan H. Kim, Fang Fang