arXiv:2408. 08998v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances in machine learning have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various applications.
By Yan Sun, Pratik Chaudhari, Ian J. Barnett, Edgar Dobriban
arXiv:2504. 18433v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty quantification is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations.
By Christopher B\"ulte, Yusuf Sale, Timo L\"ohr, Paul Hofman, Gitta Kutyniok, Eyke H\"ullermeier
arXiv:2507. 08150v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling.
By Ilia Azizi, Juraj Bodik, Jakob Heiss, Bin Yu
arXiv:2607. 14817v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Current evaluation of epistemic uncertainty relies on tasks such as out-ofdistribution detection and active learning.
By Jakub Paplh\'am, Willem Waegeman, Eyke H\"ullermeier, Vojt\v{e}ch Franc
The paper introduces rankECE, a new metric for assessing calibration error in predictive models. Unlike the widely used Expected Calibration Error (ECE), rankECE compares predictions with neighboring probability values, offering theoretical guarantees and empirical evidence that it better approximates ECE than traditional binned methods.
By Anirban Chatterjee, Rina Foygel Barber
arXiv:2505. 19033v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used frequentist framework to quantify uncertainty by constructing prediction sets with user-specified marginal coverage guarantees.
By Alireza Javanmardi, Soroush H. Zargarbashi, Santo M. A. R. Thies, Willem Waegeman, Aleksandar Bojchevski, Eyke H\"ullermeier