arXiv Machine Learning

CHAM-net: A Contrastive Hierarchical Adaptive Meta-network for Robust Global Methane Flux Prediction

arXiv:2606. 00338v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Methane is a potent greenhouse gas that significantly contributes to global warming.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry

arXiv:2607. 20778v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Weather forecasting foundation models (FMs) are increasingly fine-tuned to predict air quality, offering fast global pollution forecasts at lower computational cost than conventional chemical transport models.

By Jason Y. Hu, Ivan Higuera-Mendieta, Patrick Obin Sturm, Makoto M. Kelp
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Enhanced Agriculture-informed Neural Network by Domain Knowledge

The paper introduces KAINN, a hybrid neural‑mechanistic model that augments the Agriculture‑informed Neural Network with domain knowledge on fertilizer diffusion, soil respiration, and water‑filled porosity to predict nitrous oxide emissions from agriculture. Experiments across CNN, LSTM, and Transformer architectures show that KAINN achieves lower root mean square error, lower mean absolute error, and higher R-squared values compared to purely data‑driven models and the original AINN. The learned interfaces exhibit smoother, more physically consistent parameter trajectories with reduced uncertainty.

By Ci Lin, Futong Li, Rose Chong-Wu, Tet Yeap, Iluju Kiringa
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

Global monitoring of methane point sources using deep learning on hyperspectral radiance measurements from EMIT

arXiv:2604. 10094v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Anthropogenic methane (CH4) point sources are critical drivers of near-term climate forcing, safety hazards, and system-inefficiencies.

By Vishal V. Batchu, Michelangelo Conserva, Alex Wilson, Anna M. Michalak, Varun Gulshan, Philip G. Brodrick, Andrew K. Thorpe, Christopher V. Arsdale
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

SimCast-S2S: An Efficient Generative Model for Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasting via Transfer Learning from Climate Simulations

SimCast‑S2S is a generative latent‑diffusion model designed for probabilistic subseasonal‑to‑seasonal precipitation forecasting. It tackles three key challenges: it uses a diffusion pipeline to capture uncertainty, operates in a compact latent space to enable efficient large‑ensemble generation, and leverages transfer learning with low‑rank adaptation to train on limited reanalysis data after pretraining on climate simulations. The model outperforms deep‑learning baselines and competes with, or surpasses, operational systems such as the ECMWF‑S2S baseline without requiring extensive post‑processing.

By Hiep V. Dang, Antonios Mamalakis
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

TriHead-GAN: A Generative Adversarial Network with Triple-Head Discriminator for Carbon Emission Time Series Generation

arXiv:2606. 07569v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate carbon emission monitoring is critical for climate policy and emerging regulatory mechanisms such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, yet city-level high-frequency monitoring data remain extremely scarce, severely limiting data-hungry deep learning models.

By Zesen Wang, Lijuan Lan, Yonggang Li, Chunhua Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

SimCast-S2S: A Computationally Efficient Diffusion Model for Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasting

SimCast‑S2S is a generative latent‑diffusion framework designed for probabilistic subseasonal‑to‑seasonal precipitation forecasting. It tackles three key challenges: it uses a diffusion‑based generative pipeline for uncertainty quantification, operates in a compact latent space learned by VAEs for efficient large‑ensemble generation, and employs transfer learning with LoRA to overcome limited training data. On reanalysis data, it outperforms deep‑learning baselines and competes with or surpasses state‑of‑the‑art operational systems such as ECMWF‑S2S.

By Hiep V. Dang, Antonios Mamalakis