arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2610.07583v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: While AI weather models now rival operational forecasts, how they represent the atmosphere internally remains an open question: feature attribution r...
By Madelyn Mathai, Timothy B. Higgins, Kevin M. Grise, Chirag Agarwal, Antonios Mamalakis
While AI weather models now rival operational forecasts, how they represent the atmosphere internally remains an open question: feature attribution reveals which input patterns matter, not what the mo...
arXiv:2610.14624v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Interpreting Earth system conditions is central to understanding environmental risks and informing decisions across weather- and climate-sensitive se...
By Fadillah Adamsyah Maani, Numan Saeed, Jiaqi Ma, Dat Tien Nguyen, Youssef Wehbe, Duncan Watson-Parris, Salman Khan
arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.
By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
arXiv:2509. 09195v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current evaluation metrics for deep learning weather models create a "Statistical Similarity Trap", rewarding blurry predictions while missing rare, high-impact events.
By Md Tanveer Hossain Munim
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.
By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2607. 23237v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Effective flood risk management relies on accurate forecasting, yet the "black box" nature of stateof-the-art Deep Learning models creates a barrier to trust and accountability in high-stakes public safety decisions.
By Eli Levinkopf, Efrat Morin, Claudia V. Goldman
arXiv:2606.10174v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Wildfire detection and monitoring are critical for mitigating fire spread and reducing environmental and infrastructural damage. In this work, we i...
By Emadeldeen Hamdan, Yingyi Luo, B. Ugur Toreyin, Erdem Koyuncu, Adam J. Watts, Ugur Gudukbay, Ahmet Enis Cetin
arXiv:2603.10305v4 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Machine learning models can represent climate processes that are nonlocal in horizontal space, height, and time, often by combining information acr...
By Savannah L. Ferretti, Jerry Lin, Sara Shamekh, Jane W. Baldwin, Michael S. Pritchard, Tom Beucler