The paper introduces ROOSTER, a shared relative‑alignment module that learns how to map a condition sequence to a target sequence for both PPG‑to‑vital‑sign reconstruction and long‑horizon multivariate time‑series forecasting. ROOSTER uses a learnable periodic‑comb bias over the target‑condition offset, allowing it to discover identity alignment or seasonal lags and report the chosen correspondence. Experiments show that ROOSTER outperforms existing baselines on heart‑rate and respiratory‑rate reconstruction from wrist‑worn photoplethysmograms, and achieves the lowest horizon‑averaged MSE on four forecasting benchmarks, outperforming the underlying forecasting model in most dataset‑horizon settings.
PPG-to-vital-sign reconstruction turns a wrist-worn photoplethysmogram into clinical waveforms such as the ECG. Long-horizon multivariate time-series forecasting underpins planning in energy, weather,...
arXiv:2606. 15284v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Photoplethysmography (PPG) plays a central role in wearable health monitoring and clinical decision support.
PGP-Clinical-TimeKAN is a trajectory-first framework for joint probabilistic forecasting of multivariate physiological data, combining missingness-aware temporal encoders, a soft organ-system prior, patient-specific relations, nonlinear Kolmogorov‑Arnold messages, and a low‑rank multivariate Student‑t head. Evaluated on a MIMIC‑IV cohort of 6,882 patients, it achieves the second‑lowest normalized MAE and the lowest RMSE among 13 models, while providing calibrated probabilistic forecasts with empirical coverage at 50%, 80%, and 95% intervals. Ablation studies show that relational structure is critical for performance, and increasing covariance rank improves likelihood but not point accuracy. whyItMatters":"The model demonstrates that joint trajectory forecasting can yield highly accurate, calibrated predictions of physiological trajectories, offering a potentially inspectable intermediate task for clinical deterioration prediction."
arXiv:2607. 20027v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Short-term Heart Rate Variability (HRV) forecasting could provide clinicians with actionable lead time for detecting autonomic dysfunction and adverse cardiac events.
arXiv:2608. 12592v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Continuous physiological time series underpin modern clinical monitoring, yet many of the most informative signals are invasive, expensive, or simply unavailable for a given patient.
arXiv:2608. 12944v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electrocardiography (ECG), photoplethysmography (PPG), and phonocardiography (PCG) provide complementary views of the same cardiac cycle, yet existing cardiac foundation models are trained for a single sensing modality, leaving the shared physiology across sensors unexploited.
Continuous physiological time series underpin modern clinical monitoring, yet many of the most informative signals are invasive, expensive, or simply unavailable for a given patient. Conditional generation offers a remedy: an absent signal can be synthesized from co-recorded signals and routine clinical variables.
The paper introduces a simple, model‑agnostic time‑domain augmentation called Sliding‑Window Reordering with Overlap Averaging. It transforms the joint input‑target sequence into overlapping windows, randomly reorders a fraction of them based on a variance criterion, and reconstructs the sequence by averaging overlaps to generate synthetic samples with controlled variation and minimal temporal distortion. Experiments show strong performance gains across nine long‑term forecasting benchmarks and four short‑term traffic benchmarks, with detailed ablations and diagnostics highlighting the effectiveness of each design choice.
arXiv:2609.23701v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting requires accurate central predictions and calibrated uncertainty estimates. This paper presents TEMPER, the Temporal Encode...
arXiv:2607. 22264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Autoregressive foundation models trained on tokenized electronic health records (EHRs) can support zero-shot clinical prediction, yet most operate on structured event codes alone, and do not incorporate multiple modalities in a principled way.
arXiv:2607. 23406v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Continuous cuffless blood pressure (BP) monitoring is essential for connected health systems and wearable devices, enabling early detection, longitudinal tracking, and personalized management of cardiovascular disease.
arXiv:2607. 00431v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting models for health-signal digital twins must preserve the oscillatory, frequency, phase, and state-transition dynamics of physiological signals, yet the pointwise metrics used to benchmark them cannot detect when these fundamental properties are lost.