arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

Learning Where to Look: A Shared Relative-Alignment Module for Time-Series Forecasting and PPG-to-Vital-Sign Reconstruction

The paper introduces ROOSTER, a shared relative‑alignment module that learns how to map a condition sequence to a target sequence for both PPG‑to‑vital‑sign reconstruction and long‑horizon multivariate time‑series forecasting. ROOSTER uses a learnable periodic‑comb bias over the target‑condition offset, allowing it to discover identity alignment or seasonal lags and report the chosen correspondence. Experiments show that ROOSTER outperforms existing baselines on heart‑rate and respiratory‑rate reconstruction from wrist‑worn photoplethysmograms, and achieves the lowest horizon‑averaged MSE on four forecasting benchmarks, outperforming the underlying forecasting model in most dataset‑horizon settings.

By Ragamayi Puli, Shunya Nagashima
arXiv AI
Sep 10

PGP-Clinical-TimeKAN: Prior-Guided Joint Probabilistic Forecasting of Clinical Trajectories

PGP-Clinical-TimeKAN is a trajectory-first framework for joint probabilistic forecasting of multivariate physiological data, combining missingness-aware temporal encoders, a soft organ-system prior, patient-specific relations, nonlinear Kolmogorov‑Arnold messages, and a low‑rank multivariate Student‑t head. Evaluated on a MIMIC‑IV cohort of 6,882 patients, it achieves the second‑lowest normalized MAE and the lowest RMSE among 13 models, while providing calibrated probabilistic forecasts with empirical coverage at 50%, 80%, and 95% intervals. Ablation studies show that relational structure is critical for performance, and increasing covariance rank improves likelihood but not point accuracy. whyItMatters":"The model demonstrates that joint trajectory forecasting can yield highly accurate, calibrated predictions of physiological trajectories, offering a potentially inspectable intermediate task for clinical deterioration prediction."

By Weizhi Nie, Rihao Chang, Weijie Wang, Yuting Su
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 14

CardioState-JEPA: Delay-Aware Cross-Modal Learning of a Shared Cardiac Representation

arXiv:2608. 12944v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electrocardiography (ECG), photoplethysmography (PPG), and phonocardiography (PCG) provide complementary views of the same cardiac cycle, yet existing cardiac foundation models are trained for a single sensing modality, leaving the shared physiology across sensors unexploited.

By Hamza Shafiq, Hung Manh Pham, Bin Zhu, Pan Zhou, Jun Hu, Aaqib Saeed