The paper investigates using open‑weight large language models (LLMs) as both judges and simulated examinees to predict medical exam item difficulty from text alone. LLMs provided absolute difficulty ratings, pairwise comparisons, and response‑based signals such as correctness and option probabilities, which were combined with baseline features to improve predictions. The best models achieved Spearman correlations of .447 on USMLE and .494 on PANCE, surpassing prior shared‑task systems and matching proprietary models, demonstrating that LLM signals capture difficulty information beyond traditional text representations.
By Xiaomeng Xiong, Marcus Walker, Yanlin Jiang
arXiv:2511. 21692v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We investigate how well large language models (LLMs) generalize across different task difficulties, a key question for effective data curation and evaluation.
By Yeganeh Kordi, Nihal V. Nayak, Max Zuo, Ilana Nguyen, Stephen H. Bach
The study introduces MedQADE, a German open‑response clinical benchmark with 3,800 question‑answer pairs and physician reference annotations. It evaluates large language models (LLMs) as judges, finding that while some LLMs (e.g., Gemini 3 Flash) achieve physician‑level agreement on correctness, they exhibit self‑bias and low abstention rates. Physicians showed moderate agreement on correctness but limited agreement on difficulty, and their abstention increased with perceived difficulty.
By William Philipp, Finn Fassbender, Daniel Fister, Thorsten Langer, Martje G. Pauly, Rebecca Herzog, Markus A. Hobert, Theresa Paulus, Alexander Baumann, Chi Wang Ip, Lukas L. Goede, Johanna Reimer, Sebastian L\"ons, Ronald B\"ock, Sebastian Fudickar
arXiv:2607. 28634v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The estimation of item difficulty plays a key role in both formative assessment and large-scale high-stakes summative assessments.
By Xinyi Wang, Hong Jiao, Ming Li, Sydney Peters, Hanna Choi, Tianyi Zhou, Qingshu Xu
arXiv:2607. 26067v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for estimating item difficulty in educational assessment.
By Amanda La Hadi, Muhammad Johan Alibasa, Guanliang Chen, A. Taufiq Asyhari
arXiv:2607. 02175v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multiple-choice medical benchmarks are increasingly saturated, and recent rubric-based evaluations such as HealthBench have shown that open-ended clinical performance is far from solved - its "Hard" subset top score remains 32%.
By Samiha A. Ismail, Fan X. Chen, Ali Merali
arXiv:2607. 26317v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Psychometric calibration for educational tests typically requires costly human response data.
By Wenjie Zhou, Yunting Liu, Renjiao Tang, Mark Wilson
The paper introduces PrecepTron, a 32‑billion‑parameter language model fine‑tuned with low‑rank adaptation to evaluate clinical reasoning in large language models (LLMs) at a physician level. It also releases GRAND‑ROUNDS, a benchmark of 9,217 scored responses from 160 clinicians across seven studies. Using PrecepTron, the authors replicate key findings from major medical AI studies and explore new questions about LLM diagnostic accuracy, demonstrating that fine‑tuned models can provide consistent, scalable physician‑level scoring.
By Thomas A. Buckley, Zahir Kanjee, Peter G. Brodeur, Byron Crowe, Anthony M. Pettinato, Aashna P. Shah, Adrian D. Haimovich, Liam G. McCoy, Daniel Restrepo, Jason A. Freed, Ethan Goh, Jonathan H. Chen, Laura Zwaan, Katherine E. Goodman, Daniel J. Morgan, Raja-Elie E. Abdulnour, Adam Rodman, Arjun K. Manrai
The paper introduces a data-driven method to generate natural-language explanations for why some questions are harder than others. It estimates question difficulty using Item Response Theory on large language model responses, then prompts an LLM to propose hypotheses that are validated on held-out data. Experiments on mathematical, logical, and commonsense datasets show that these hypotheses are interpretable, predictive, and can be used to adjust question difficulty causally.
By Peng Cui, Qiaoyuan Zheng, Rudolf Debelak, Mrinmaya Sachan
arXiv:2606. 19509v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to structured clinical data, yet whether they can recognize the limits of their own knowledge on such tasks remains unexplored.
By Akshat Dasula, Prasanna Desikan, Jaideep Srivastava
arXiv:2606. 28186v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting human item difficulty is central to educational assessment, where reliable estimates support fairness and effective test construction.
By Chenguang Wang, Ming Li, Xinyue Zeng, Zhuochun Li, Hong Jiao, Tianyi Zhou, Dawei Zhou
arXiv:2607. 02432v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scalable and reliable grading of command-line examinations remains a challenge in computing education, where rising enrolments make manual marking difficult and rule-based autograders cannot handle partial credit, equivalent solutions, or syntactic variation.
By Manuel Alonso-Carracedo, Ruben Fernandez-Boullon, Pedro Celard, Francisco J. Rodriguez-Martinez, Lorena Otero-Cerdeira