arXiv AI By Peng Cui, Qiaoyuan Zheng, Rudolf Debelak, Mrinmaya Sachan

What Makes Something Hard(er)? Explaining Question Difficulty in Natural Language

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arXiv AI
2d ago

Certainty Is Not Just Correctness: Rethinking Token-Level Certainty in LLM Reasoning

The paper investigates token‑level certainty as a proxy for correctness in large language models. It finds that certainty better predicts whether a model will answer a question correctly than it does whether a specific response is correct, and that certainty varies by token type and position. The authors show that using certainty early in generation to allocate responses and later to weight votes improves accuracy while dramatically cutting token cost.

By Yunfan Zhou, Ye Zhu, Zhihai Wang, Jianguo Yao, Haibing Guan, Xijun Li