arXiv AI

Earth System World Model for What-If Simulations: A Case Study for Terrestrial Ecosystems

The paper introduces an action‑conditioned world‑modeling framework that turns Earth‑system simulator trajectories into training data for controllable state‑transition learning. By pretraining on naturally observed state changes as implicit action supervision and using masked response learning, the model can infer unobserved variables and learn coupled system dependencies. Experiments on ecosystem dynamics across six global regions demonstrate that the model maintains long‑horizon emulation accuracy while enabling structural interventions and coherent responses in coupled ecosystem‑cycle variables.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 8

Artificial intelligence pathways from weather to climate

arXiv:2610.09770v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning has made rapid advances in weather forecasting: autoregressive models trained on atmospheric reanalyses now rival dynamical models acro...

By Tom Beucler, J. David Neelin, Hui Su, Shivanshi Asthana, Chris Bretherton, Will Chapman, Costa Christopoulos, Spencer K. Clark, Aditya Grover, Ignacio Lopez-Gomez, Tapio Schneider, Adam Subel, Oliver Watt-Meyer
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 17

Optimal scenario design for climate emulation

As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints. However, for machine-learning surrogate climate models (emulators), we show that the low structural diversity in existing scenarios commonly used to generate training data places a ceiling on predictive skill.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 3

Quo Vadis, World Modeling?

Continually improving agents require dynamic interaction feedback beyond static supervision, yet direct real-environment interaction is costly, slow, unsafe, and hard to parallelize. World modeling offers a natural intermediate proxy that allows agents to query lower-cost, more controllable feedback before committing to real actions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Optimal scenario design for climate emulation

arXiv:2606. 19302v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints.

By Christopher B. Womack, Shahine Bouabid, Andrei Sokolov, Popat Salunke, Glenn Flierl, Sebastian D. Eastham, Noelle E. Selin
arXiv AI
Jun 9

Agentic World Modeling: Foundations, Capabilities, Laws, and Beyond

arXiv:2604. 22748v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As AI systems move from generating text to accomplishing goals through sustained interaction, the ability to model environment dynamics becomes a central bottleneck.

By Meng Chu, Xuan Billy Zhang, Kevin Qinghong Lin, Lingdong Kong, Jize Zhang, Teng Tu, Weijian Ma, Ziqi Huang, Senqiao Yang, Wei Huang, Yeying Jin, Zhefan Rao, Jinhui Ye, Xinyu Lin, Xichen Zhang, Qisheng Hu, Shuai Yang, Leyang Shen, Wei Chow, Yifei Dong, Fengyi Wu, Quanyu Long, Bin Xia, Shaozuo Yu, Mingkang Zhu, Wenhu Zhang, Jiehui Huang, Haokun Gui, Runyi Li, Shiyi Du, Xu Huang, Dong Huang, Rui Liu, Chenyu Tang, Xuhang Chen, Chengzu Li, Haoxuan Che, Long Chen, Qifeng Chen, Wenxuan Zhang, Wenya Wang, Xiaojuan Qi, Yang Deng, Yanwei Li, Mike Zheng Shou, Zhi-Qi Cheng, See-Kiong Ng, Ziwei Liu, Philip Torr, Jiaya Jia
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 29

Learning Hierarchical Causal Representations of the Effects of Forcings on Temperature in Climate Models

The paper presents a hierarchical causal representation learning framework that models both internal climate variability and forced responses in sea surface temperature fields from a global climate model. By training on future climate change scenarios, the method accurately predicts long‑term global mean and regional temperature evolution and reproduces realistic responses to perturbations in greenhouse gas and aerosol concentrations on unseen scenarios. This demonstrates the potential of causal representation learning to improve climate model emulation.

By Shan Zhao, Ilija Trajkovic, Julia Kaltenborn, Yaniv Gurwicz, Peer Nowack, David Rolnick, Julien Boussard