D-TAIA is a framework that adapts large language models for multi‑task predictive process monitoring, jointly predicting the next activity and remaining time of ongoing cases. It uses domain‑aware triplet loss pre‑training, FAISS‑based nearest‑neighbor retrieval for time estimation, and a TAIA inference strategy to preserve sequential reasoning while fine‑tuning a 10 M‑parameter backbone. Across four real‑world event logs, D‑TAIA achieves state‑of‑the‑art or competitive results compared to a fine‑tuned LLM and a recurrent neural network baseline, with ablation studies showing the effectiveness of NLP and computer‑vision techniques for this domain.
By Sjoerd van Straten, Christine Jacob, Marwan Hassani
arXiv:2606. 18726v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Structurally constrained event sequence generation remains challenging because generated paths must preserve transition feasibility, temporal order, termination, and attribute consistency.
By Fang Wang, Ernesto Damiani
arXiv:2607. 18530v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Supplier lead time forecasting is a central input to material requirements planning, inventory optimization, and supply chain risk management.
By Christopher Wang, Sebastien Ouellet, Behrouz Haji Soleimani, Ali Etemad
arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
By Xiangni Tian, Kaixian Yu, Runpeng Dai, Niansheng Tang, Hongtu Zhu
arXiv:2610.19603v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Transformers have demonstrated strong performance in long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), yet modeling non-stationary temporal dependencies remain...
By Xinjie Lan, Yunbo Mei, Leheng Zhou, Hao Qi
arXiv:2606. 08601v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive potential for time series forecasting.
By Peiliang Gong, Emadeldeen Eldele, Chenyu Liu, Ziyu Jia, Yi Ding, Xinliang Zhou, Lianchao Gu, Qi Zhu, Yang Liu, Daoqiang Zhang, Xiaoli Li
AliO: Output Alignment Matters in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting proposes a new method, AliO, to improve output alignment in LTSF models by reducing discrepancies in prediction outputs for the same timestamps across both time and frequency domains. The authors introduce a Time Alignment Metric (TAM) to quantify alignment, contrasting with traditional MSE metrics that only measure distance to ground truth. Experiments demonstrate that AliO can increase TAM by up to 58.2% while maintaining or improving forecasting performance by up to 27.5%.
By Kwangryeol Park, Jaeho Kim, Seulki Lee
arXiv:2606. 07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences.
By Tao Chen, Yexu Zhou, Zhi Gong, Hengwei He, Hongda Li, Zhewei Chen, Dongjing Wang, Xin Zhang, Decheng Liu, Chunlei Peng, Zheng Chen, Wenyue Ding
arXiv:2608.30695v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit irregular sampling and extended temporal horizons, requiring models to capture continuous-time dynamics across arb...
By Yiheng Jiang, Yuanbo Xu, Yongjian Yang
The paper introduces a quantile‑led feature‑extraction framework for predictive maintenance that separates representation learning from downstream modeling. Using a dual‑stage MLP‑QRNN hierarchy, it learns a ten‑quantile distribution per sensor and refines a mid‑tail quantile set into compact, channel‑resolved features. Experiments on 72 machines across nine facilities show that increasing the retained mid‑tail quantiles improves short‑term F1 scores, and that horizon‑conditioned extractors outperform a fixed short‑horizon extractor, demonstrating that feature extraction should be horizon‑dependent rather than fixed preprocessing.
By David J Poland, Daniele Ravi, Na Helian
SACQ introduces a structured prediction head for long‑horizon time‑series forecasting that replaces the traditional flatten readout. It uses a two‑stage decoding process: a coarse patch‑grid scaffold is first generated, then each future position is refined via cross‑attention over historical memory, with a learned gate merging the corrections. A batch‑adaptive scaled log‑cosh loss further stabilizes training under long horizons and noisy labels, leading to superior MSE/MAE performance across multiple backbones with minimal overhead.
By Guo Cheng, Zhengzhuo Xu, Chenchen Jing, Jingyi Hou
The paper introduces HART, a Hybrid Attention-RWKV Time-series Foundation Model that alternates attention and RWKV blocks to improve long-horizon forecasting. It identifies a problem in RWKV-7 called Placeholder Idling Decay, where repeated state transitions degrade historical information during non-autoregressive multi-step forecasting. Experiments on GIFT-Eval and TIME-Benchmark show that HART outperforms pure RWKV on medium and long horizons while matching short-horizon performance, and achieves comparable long-horizon MASE to a much larger Transformer with only 36 M parameters.
By Qingwen Lin, Boyan Xu, Shifeng Xie, Zhifeng Hao, Keli Zhang, Ruichu Cai