arXiv:2606. 07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences.
arXiv:2604. 16325v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges.
arXiv:2606. 05264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences.
arXiv:2603. 15802v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many time series forecasting settings, the target time series is accompanied by exogenous covariates, such as promotions and prices in retail demand; temperature in energy load; calendar and holiday indicators for traffic or sales; and grid load or fuel costs in electricity pricing.
arXiv:2607. 02344v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Transformer architectures have shown strong potential in time series forecasting, where multi-head self-attention is widely used to capture temporal dependencies across historical timestamps.
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
arXiv:2503. 24007v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In time series forecasting, covariates represent external factors that influence target variables.
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
TimeBraid is a family of unified models that combine pretrained language models with pretrained time‑series foundation models using interleaved global residual attention layers. The models inherit instruction following, reasoning, and continuous‑signal perception, fusing both modalities into a shared representation space for understanding and generation. The design focuses on aligning representation spaces, grounding language in temporal structure, balancing understanding with generation, and maintaining stable joint optimization, supported by 2.2 M curated series‑text pairs and 4.9 M instruction‑tuning samples. Across diverse benchmarks, TimeBraid competes with larger general‑purpose and task‑specific models.
The paper introduces a hybrid attention model that learns a unified time‑aware patch representation for irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) forecasting. It employs a time‑aware patch encoding to embed variable‑length intra‑patch timestamps, a time bias attention mechanism to adjust for temporal misalignment and asynchronous cross‑channel dependencies, and a hybrid causal mask on a decoder‑only Transformer to balance historical context with autoregressive forecasting. The authors also curate VersaTSA, a 30 B‑observation dataset preserving native sampling sparsity, and demonstrate state‑of‑the‑art zero‑shot performance on three IMTS benchmarks while remaining competitive on regular MTS tasks.
WorldTS is a new forecasting framework that models latent dynamics conditioned on multimodal covariates to improve time‑series prediction. It uses a two‑stage training process: first learning latent state dynamics from historical data and covariates, then training a decoder to map predicted latent states back to future observations. Experiments on 21 real‑world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.
arXiv:2606. 05878v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Foundation models mark a profound paradigm shift in time series modeling, with task-specific models being superseded by general-purpose zero-shot models.
arXiv:2603. 15055v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present a theory-guided generalized Bayesian methodology for spatio-temporal raster data, which we use to train an ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks with Gaussian-distributed weights.