arXiv AI

Quantile-Led Feature Extraction for Multi-Horizon Predictive Maintenance in Industrial Manufacturing Systems

The paper introduces a quantile‑led feature‑extraction framework for predictive maintenance that separates representation learning from downstream modeling. Using a dual‑stage MLP‑QRNN hierarchy, it learns a ten‑quantile distribution per sensor and refines a mid‑tail quantile set into compact, channel‑resolved features. Experiments on 72 machines across nine facilities show that increasing the retained mid‑tail quantiles improves short‑term F1 scores, and that horizon‑conditioned extractors outperform a fixed short‑horizon extractor, demonstrating that feature extraction should be horizon‑dependent rather than fixed preprocessing.

arXiv AI
Sep 7

Long Horizon Transformer Quantile Fault Prediction for Multi Site Industrial Predictive Maintenance

The paper introduces TQRNN30d, a long‑horizon predictive maintenance model that uses a dual‑stage quantile regression neural network to transform hourly machine data into a 324‑dimensional quantile‑state representation, which is then classified with a multi‑stream temporal fusion architecture. Trained on data from 72 machines across nine facilities, the model achieves high performance at 30‑day horizons (F1 ≈ 80%, recall ≈ 80%, precision ≈ 82%, accuracy ≈ 82%, ROC‑AUC ≈ 0.82) and outperforms 18 baseline methods at 7‑, 14‑, and 30‑day thresholds. The study demonstrates that explicit conditional‑quantile representations can effectively distinguish gradual degradation from normal operation over multi‑day planning windows, though generalisation to unseen sites or equipment remains untested.

By David J Poland, Daniele Ravi, Na Helian
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

Boosted Enhanced Quantile Regression Neural Networks with Spatiotemporal Permutation Entropy for Complex System Prognostics

arXiv:2507. 14194v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper presents an integrative prognostic framework that combines Spatiotemporal Permutation Entropy (STPE), Boosted Enhanced Quantile Regression Neural Networks (B-EQRNNs), Gated Temporal Attention, a Spiking Neural Network (SNN) refinement stage, and a Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) classifier.

By David J Poland
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Uncertainty and Business-Aware Remaining Useful Life Estimation for Semiconductor Manufacturing

The paper presents a predictive maintenance framework for semiconductor manufacturing that combines deep learning sequence models with simultaneous quantile regression to provide uncertainty‑aware remaining useful life (RUL) estimates. It evaluates several architectures—including state‑space models—on ion‑milling data from the 2018 PHM Data Challenge, showing that the Diagonal State Space (S4D) model delivers the most accurate RUL predictions across quantiles. Compared to preventive maintenance baselines, the S4D approach significantly reduces business costs by avoiding unnecessarily early interventions.

By Davide Frizzo, Francesco Borsatti, Gian Antonio Susto
arXiv AI
5d ago

FreqCondNorm: Towards Cross-domain Predictive Maintenance through a Frequency-Conditioned Transformer Foundation Model

The paper introduces FreqCondNorm, a Transformer-based architecture that adds a frequency-conditioned normalization layer to unify heterogeneous time-series data for predictive maintenance. The model is pretrained on five public datasets using masked auto‑encoding and contrastive learning, achieving 99.2% accuracy on CWRU and 82.1% zero‑shot accuracy on MFPT, showing strong transfer across sampling frequencies. However, it does not improve remaining useful life prediction, indicating a mismatch between pretraining and RUL objectives that requires further study.

By Zaynab Raounak, Camille LHermine, Zhiguo Zeng