arXiv Machine Learning

Learning Penalty for Changepoint Detection via Automatic Feature Extraction

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 20

skchange: Fast and Flexible Algorithms for Changepoint Detection

skchange is an open‑source Python library that provides fast and flexible algorithms for detecting structural changes in time series. It offers modular, composable methods based on cost minimisation and statistical tests, and includes features such as anomalous segment detection, high‑dimensional data support, automatic penalty calibration, and a wide range of built‑in costs and tests. The library follows scikit‑learn conventions and uses Numba for high computational performance, with source code and documentation available on GitHub.

arXiv AI
Aug 24

SENTRY: Deterministic, Intelligent Risk Assessment for IT Change Management

SENTRY is a deterministic risk assessment platform for IT change management that replaces subjective questionnaires with a machine‑learning pipeline using XGBoost and retrieval‑augmented generation. It integrates structured metadata, dependency graphs, incident history, and a hybrid semantic‑lexical search of change request text, compressing the unstructured signal into a single feature for model inference. The system delivers a ROC AUC of 0.87, 85% accuracy, and detects high‑risk changes 3.25 times faster than existing processes.

By Daniel Arulpragasam, Christer Henrysson, Ella Ly, Deepika Anbalagan, Leo Feng
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 3

Variability Aware Recursive Neural Network (VARNN): A Residual-Memory Model for Capturing Temporal Deviation in Sequence Regression Modeling

The paper introduces the Variability-Aware Recursive Neural Network (VARNN), a residual-aware architecture for supervised time-series regression that learns a nonlinear, vector-valued residual representation from recent prediction errors. VARNN conditions subsequent predictions on this learned residual-memory state, mapping scalar prediction innovations into a short-context representation. Experiments on nine datasets across energy, healthcare, and environmental domains show that VARNN achieves lower test MSE than static, lag-based, and sequence-model baselines, and ablations confirm that the learned residual memory improves predictive accuracy over direct scalar residual feedback.

By Haroon Gharwi, Yue Dai, Kai Shu
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 8

MORA: Modeling Observed Changes for Drift-Robust Time-Series Anomaly Detection

MORA is a drift‑robust time‑series anomaly detection framework that addresses the ambiguity between distribution drift and true anomalies by defining a temporal change disambiguation problem. It reconstructs a local target from paired short‑ and long‑term views, using the reconstruction gap as a measure of contextual support to adjust the primary anomaly score. The method requires no drift annotations or online adaptation and demonstrates strong robustness to non‑stationarity while maintaining sensitivity to genuine anomalies on four TSAD benchmarks.

By Xudong Mou, Tiejun Wang, Rui Wang, Hui Wang, Pin Liu, Tianyu Wo, Xudong Liu, Renyu Yang
arXiv AI
Aug 19

EvoTS-Agent: A Self-Evolving LLM Agent for Financial Time Series Change Point Detection

EvoTS-Agent is a self‑evolving large language model agent designed for autonomous change‑point detection in financial time series. It begins with curated exploratory data analysis to set up candidate models, then iteratively refines its detection pipeline using three operators—Revision, Alternative Strategy, and Recombination—guided by validation feedback. Across four benchmark datasets, EvoTS-Agent consistently outperforms existing LLM‑based agents and achieves a 100% execution success rate on all tested backbone LLMs.

By Lei Jiang, Ye Wei, Xinyu Xi, Jordan Langham-Lopez, Yifan Bao, Raad Khraishi, Yihao Ang, Anthony K. H. Tung, Lukasz Szpruch, Hao Ni