arXiv Machine Learning

Context-aware Attention-based Gaussian Mixture Models for Vehicular Trajectory Prediction

The paper presents Context-Aware Attention-based Gaussian Mixture Models (CAA‑GMM) for predicting vehicular trajectories in complex, uncertain environments. CAA‑GMM models future motion as a probabilistic mixture conditioned on scene context and agent dynamics, using a lightweight attention mechanism to encode inter‑agent interactions and contextual salience. Experiments on nuScenes and Argoverse 2 show competitive or superior accuracy to raster‑based baselines while keeping computational complexity low, and ablation studies confirm the attention module’s importance for robust contextual reasoning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

M3-Former: Multimodal Transformer with Mixture-of-Experts for Long-Term Vessel Trajectory Prediction

M3-Former is a multimodal transformer framework that uses large language models to encode vessel static attributes and navigational intent as semantic priors for long‑term trajectory prediction. It builds a unified multimodal representation space, aligns static semantic information with dynamic trajectory features via self‑attention, and employs a dual‑granularity Mixture‑of‑Experts architecture to capture both global route planning and fine‑grained maneuvering behaviors. A Steering‑Weighted Cross‑Entropy loss further improves accuracy on sparse turning events, and experiments on a Danish AIS dataset show consistent improvements over state‑of‑the‑art baselines, reducing ADE and FDE by up to 5.1% in 4‑hour predictions.

By Wenzhe Jin, Haina Tang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Active Client Selection in Federated Trajectory Prediction with Uncertainty-Awareness and Heterogeneous Complexity

The paper introduces active client selection strategies for federated learning in autonomous vehicle trajectory prediction, addressing challenges of high scene uncertainty and heterogeneous complexity across different driving environments. It proposes uncertainty-aware selectors that use per-client negative log-likelihood and aleatoric uncertainty, as well as a joint selector that balances scene complexity and uncertainty to prioritize informative clients. Experiments on the Argoverse dataset show that federated models outperform local training, with uncertainty-aware selection speeding convergence and improving key metrics, while the joint selector yields the best generalization under strong heterogeneity.

By Yiming Xie, Muzi Peng, Fei Miao, Ningfang Mi, Lili Su
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 13

BrainWAM: Action-Space Coordination of Semantic Priors and Predictive Dynamics for Autonomous Driving

Autonomous driving requires planning under both semantic constraints and predictive dynamics. Existing end-to-end driving approaches, however, typically emphasize only one side of this requirement: Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models exploit VLM priors for semantic reasoning, while World Action Models (WAMs) provide future-aware prediction through generative world modeling.

arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 4

Drive-HWM: Hierarchical World Models for Dynamic-Latent Guided Autonomous Driving

Drive‑HWM introduces a hierarchical slow‑fast world modeling framework for autonomous driving. The slow model predicts multi‑step future representations, while the fast model jointly predicts the next frame and immediate action using a lightweight multimodal backbone and an autoregressive expert. Dynamic‑Aware Latents, learned through optical‑flow prediction, explicitly capture motion dynamics, and experiments on NAVSIM v1 and v2 show strong driving performance with validated ablation studies.

By Zhaoxin Fan, Tianbao Zhang, Wenjun Wu, Xiaofeng Wang, Yeying Jin, Jian Zhao, Zheng Zhu, Shuicheng Yan
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 6

TGRIP: A Text-Guided Approach to Vehicle Instance Prediction in Autonomous Driving

Bird's-Eye View (BEV) end-to-end instance prediction has emerged as a robust paradigm for autonomous driving perception, effectively mitigating the error propagation inherent in traditional modular pipelines. However, current state-of-the-art approaches rely predominantly on geometric supervision, such as occupancy regression and optical flow, effectively treating scene agents as generic moving obstacles.