arXiv Machine Learning By Wenzhe Jin, Haina Tang

M3-Former: Multimodal Transformer with Mixture-of-Experts for Long-Term Vessel Trajectory Prediction

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M3-Former is a multimodal transformer framework that uses large language models to encode vessel static attributes and navigational intent as semantic priors for long‑term trajectory prediction. It builds a unified multimodal representation space, aligns static semantic information with dynamic trajectory features via self‑attention, and employs a dual‑granularity Mixture‑of‑Experts architecture to capture both global route planning and fine‑grained maneuvering behaviors. A Steering‑Weighted Cross‑Entropy loss further improves accuracy on sparse turning events, and experiments on a Danish AIS dataset show consistent improvements over state‑of‑the‑art baselines, reducing ADE and FDE by up to 5.1% in 4‑hour predictions.

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arXiv AI
Jun 9

Towards Long-Horizon Vessel Trajectory and Destination Forecasting with Reasoning Large Language Models

arXiv:2606. 08633v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon maritime trajectory prediction is important for shipping management, logistics planning, and maritime risk analysis, yet month-level forecasting remains insufficiently studied.

By Hongwei Wang, Miao Zhou, Fengde Wang, Yuting Wang, Jiewen Yu, Jun-Yan He, Bohao Qu, Wanbing Zhang, Xiuju Fu, Qing Guo, Zipei Fan, Yingying Xing, Yi Yuan