arXiv:2607. 18271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasts are widely used in decision-critical domains, where they are rarely consumed without accompanying explanations.
arXiv:2608.21449v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series arise in a wide range of application domains and are analyzed using machine learning in decision-critical settings. Time series classificat...
TSQueryBench is a synthetic benchmark comprising 500 time‑series instances and 10 query types, each paired with correct, partially correct, and incorrect natural‑language explanations. The study evaluates six large language models on explanation generation, ranking, scoring, and anomaly detection, revealing that models often fail to generate numerically correct explanations yet can reliably identify or score correct ones. These findings suggest that rubric‑guided LLM evaluation is more dependable than generation for numerically grounded time‑series reasoning.
arXiv:2607. 28124v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As forecasts increasingly drive decisions in fields such as energy, transportation, and healthcare, understanding the historical data behind these predictions has become as crucial as the predictions themselves.
The paper introduces a framework that uses large language models (LLMs) to generate natural‑language narratives explaining cross‑sectional stock return predictions. It combines temporal Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) from an XGBoost model with historical regime analogs to provide context. A controlled study shows that progressively externalizing numerical and relational reasoning improves evidence faithfulness and accuracy, while historical analogs boost human‑rated usefulness.
arXiv:2608. 01875v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Most time series (TS) models are specialized for a single task, either understanding (i.
arXiv:2606. 24950v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial decision-making is contextual: forecasting prices, valuing companies, and assessing event exposure weigh price history, accounting fundamentals, macroeconomic regime, and contemporaneous text.
arXiv:2608. 25897v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Explaining deep learning models operating on time series data is crucial in various applications that require transparent and interpretable insights into model behavior.
NVExplain is a model‑agnostic framework that explains time‑series forecasting by attributing each forecast horizon to temporally relevant historical lags. It models forecasting as a latent trajectory, introduces semantic flow to track information evolution, and aggregates this into a lag‑horizon attribution matrix. The method also generates structure‑preserving perturbations and fits sparse local surrogates to produce human‑readable, temporally coherent explanations, and demonstrates competitive faithfulness and stability across benchmark datasets.
arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.
arXiv:2603. 04818v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Disruptions at critical logistics nodes pose severe risks to global supply chains, yet existing risk prediction systems typically prioritize forecasting accuracy without providing operationally interpretable early warnings.
arXiv:2607. 09502v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Explaining machine-learning models is increasingly important for decision-making and consumer trust, yet it is widely believed to come at a cost: existing Explainable AI (XAI) methods suffer from a persistent accuracy-explainability trade-off.
arXiv:2608. 03339v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Enterprise forecasting increasingly relies on autonomous agents that interpret documents, search for data, generate code, and revise models.