arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.
By Mosh Levy, Yoav Goldberg, Asa Cooper Stickland
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.
By Yitong Zhou, Yucong Luo, Mingyue Cheng, Qi Liu, Jiahao Wang, Daoyu Wang, Enhong Chen
Large language models fine-tuned for forecasting can be accurate yet poorly calibrated, and their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning may not faithfully reflect the evidence behind a forecast. We ask whether internal representations offer a more direct window into both.
arXiv:2606. 12481v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong reasoning and instruction-following capabilities, making them potentially powerful tools for time-series analysis.
By Jaeho Kim, Changhun Oh, Seokhyun Lee, Irina Rish, Changhee Lee
arXiv:2608. 10149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Due to the diversity of real-world time series, no single forecasting model consistently dominates across all samples.
By Xu Zhang, Chang Xu, Hui Sun, Nan Ma, Zijian Zhang, Peng Wang, Wei Wang, Li Zhao