arXiv AI

Time Series Forecasting as Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforced LLMs

arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.

arXiv AI

Aug 25

Time Series Forecasting via Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforcement Fine-Tuned LLMs

arXiv:2506.10630v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techni...

By Yitong Zhou, Yucong Luo, Mingyue Cheng, Qi Liu, Jiahao Wang, Daoyu Wang, Enhong Chen

llms reinforcement-learning fine-tuning safety

arXiv AI

Aug 21

TS-Reasoner: Aligning Time Series Foundation Models with LLM Reasoning

arXiv:2510. 03519v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series reasoning is crucial to decision-making in diverse domains, including finance, energy, and scientific discovery.

By Fangxu Yu, Hongyu Zhao, Tianyi Zhou

llms fine-tuning multimodal benchmarks safety

arXiv Machine Learning

Aug 12

REATS: LLM Reasoning-based Ensemble Learning for Adaptive Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 10149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Due to the diversity of real-world time series, no single forecasting model consistently dominates across all samples.

By Xu Zhang, Chang Xu, Hui Sun, Nan Ma, Zijian Zhang, Peng Wang, Wei Wang, Li Zhao

llms fine-tuning benchmarks safety

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 26

Forecasting With LLMs: Improved Generalization Through Feature Steering

arXiv:2606. 27199v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Successful forecasting involves identifying patterns between historical and future states of the world which generalize to future observations.

By Humzah Merchant, Bradford Levy

llms safety

arXiv AI

Aug 5

CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen

llms agents reinforcement-learning fine-tuning

arXiv AI

Sep 15

TimeThink: Eliciting Compositional Reasoning in Timeseries Large Language Models

arXiv:2609.13457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Timeseries multimodal large language models (TS-MLLMs) have recently begun leveraging the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) for qu...

By Sudarshan Regmi, Arvind Pillai, Yu Yvonne Wu, Yuliang Chen, Bibek Panthi, Tess Z. Griffin, Michael V. Heinz, Lisa Marsch, Nicholas C. Jacobson, Andrew Campbell

llms reinforcement-learning multimodal benchmarks

arXiv AI

Sep 11

KairosAgent: Agentic Time Series Forecasting with Fused Semantic Reasoning

KairosAgent is an agentic framework that combines a large language model (LLM) reasoner with a time series foundation model (TSFM) forecaster to tackle cross‑domain multimodal time series forecasting. It dynamically invokes analytical tools to improve the LLM’s numerical comprehension and semantic reasoning, then fuses the reasoning outcomes into the TSFM pipeline for more accurate predictions. The approach is further enhanced by a curated large‑scale trajectory corpus and a reinforcement learning paradigm with multi‑turn refinement and turn‑level credit assignment, achieving superior zero‑shot forecasting performance.

By Kun Feng, Ziwei Shan, Yuchen Fang, Yiyang Tan, Sihan Lu, Shuqi Gu, Xingyu Lu, Lintao Ma, Kan Ren

llms agents reinforcement-learning multimodal

arXiv AI

Jun 10

MemCast: Memory-Driven Time Series Forecasting with Experience-Conditioned Reasoning

arXiv:2602. 03164v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a critical role in decision-making for many real-world applications.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Shuo Yu, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Shijin Wang

llms

arXiv Machine Learning

2d ago

OpenTSLM TeeMoE: A Unified Time-Series Language Model for Forecasting, Contextual Prediction, and Reasoning

arXiv:2609.40265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time-series applications increasingly require models that can handle time series forecasting, context-conditioned prediction, and language-b...

By Tony Chen, Timo Stoffregen, Maxwell Xu, Thomas Kaar, Martin Maritsch, Geremia Pompei, Nicolas Zumarraga, Robert Jakob, Paul Schmiedmayer, Patrick Langer, Juncheng Liu

llms fine-tuning benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jun 11

Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task

arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.

By Mosh Levy, Yoav Goldberg, Asa Cooper Stickland

llms fine-tuning

arXiv AI

Jun 2

PATRA: Pattern-Aware Alignment and Balanced Reasoning for Time Series Question Answering

arXiv:2602. 23161v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series reasoning demands both the perception of complex dynamics and logical depth.

By Junkai Lu, Peng Chen, Xingjian Wu, Yang Shu, Chenjuan Guo, Christian S. Jensen, Bin Yang

llms nlp multimodal safety

arXiv AI

Jun 12

Representing Time Series as Structured Programs for LLM Reasoning

arXiv:2606. 12481v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong reasoning and instruction-following capabilities, making them potentially powerful tools for time-series analysis.

By Jaeho Kim, Changhun Oh, Seokhyun Lee, Irina Rish, Changhee Lee

llms nlp

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