arXiv AI
Jun 11
Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task
arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.
ReasonCast: Towards Explainable Time Series Forecasting with Reasoning
arXiv:2608. 01875v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Most time series (TS) models are specialized for a single task, either understanding (i.
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arXiv AI
Aug 5
CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
arXiv AI
Jun 4
Time Series Forecasting as Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforced LLMs
arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 9
What LLM Forecasters Know but Don't Say: Probing Internal Representations for Calibration and Faithfulness
Large language models fine-tuned for forecasting can be accurate yet poorly calibrated, and their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning may not faithfully reflect the evidence behind a forecast. We ask whether internal representations offer a more direct window into both.
arXiv AI
Jun 12
Representing Time Series as Structured Programs for LLM Reasoning
arXiv:2606. 12481v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong reasoning and instruction-following capabilities, making them potentially powerful tools for time-series analysis.
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12
REATS: LLM Reasoning-based Ensemble Learning for Adaptive Time Series Forecasting
arXiv:2608. 10149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Due to the diversity of real-world time series, no single forecasting model consistently dominates across all samples.
arXiv AI
Jul 10
What LLM Forecasters Know but Don't Say: Probing Internal Representations for Calibration and Faithfulness
arXiv:2607. 08046v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models fine-tuned for forecasting can be accurate yet poorly calibrated, and their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning may not faithfully reflect the evidence behind a forecast.
arXiv AI
Jun 10
MemCast: Memory-Driven Time Series Forecasting with Experience-Conditioned Reasoning
arXiv:2602. 03164v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a critical role in decision-making for many real-world applications.
arXiv AI
Aug 11
TempoBench: Reasoning Execution Without Causal Attribution Is Just Simulation
arXiv:2510. 27544v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current training paradigms, optimized for long-horizon reasoning trace execution, have made Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at pattern matching and forward simulation of reasoning, but underperform at counterfactual causal understanding and reasoning.
arXiv AI
Jul 21
Can We Break LLMs Out of Self-Loops? Fine-Grained Reasoning Control with Activation Steering
arXiv:2607. 18100v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Extended reasoning has become standard for frontier Large Language Models (LLMs), yet the trajectories these models produce remain largely uncontrollable.
arXiv AI
2d ago
Think in Latent, Explain in Language: Self-Explainable Latent Reasoning
arXiv:2608. 13570v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Latent reasoning has emerged as a powerful alternative to text-based Chain-of-Thought (CoT), offering significant gains in computational efficiency by compressing verbose reasoning into compact embeddings.
arXiv AI
Jun 11
A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Models
arXiv:2509. 11575v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series reasoning treats time as a first-class axis and incorporates intermediate evidence directly into the answer.