arXiv AI
Jun 11
Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task
arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.
Learning to Simulate Individuals from Macro Social Signals
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arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15
Mind2Dialogue: Training Human-Aware Language Models by Simulating User Mental States
arXiv:2609.15972v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As language models become more capable, long-term collaboration in learning, reasoning, and decision-making calls for a deeper understanding of the p...
arXiv AI
Jun 4
Time Series Forecasting as Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforced LLMs
arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.
arXiv AI
Aug 25
Time Series Forecasting via Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforcement Fine-Tuned LLMs
arXiv:2506.10630v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techni...
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 3
Learning Stateful Predictive Knowledge From Experience
arXiv:2607. 28638v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As large language model (LLM) agents increasingly learn from experience, they primarily rely on trajectory-level reflection to extract insights.
arXiv AI
Aug 5
CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
arXiv AI
Jul 2
Predicting LLM Reasoning Performance with Small Proxy Model
arXiv:2509. 21013v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Given the prohibitive cost of pre-training large language models, it is essential to leverage smaller proxy models to optimize datasets before scaling up.
arXiv AI
Jun 4
Smart Picks in the Dark: Towards Efficient RLVR for Reasoning via Tracing Metacognitive Pivots
arXiv:2606. 04503v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has greatly advanced large reasoning models (LRMs), but it requires timely training on a huge fully-annotated dataset.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4
Can Large Language Models Generalize Procedures Across Representations?
arXiv:2602. 03542v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are trained and tested extensively on symbolic representations such as code and graphs, yet real-world user tasks are often specified in natural language.
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 11
LLMAR: A Tuning-Free Recommendation Framework for Sparse and Text-Rich Industrial Domains
LLMAR is a tuning‑free recommendation framework designed for sparse, text‑rich industrial B2B domains. It transforms user behavioral history into structured semantic motives using LLM inference, employs a reflection loop to self‑correct hallucinations, and operates cost‑effectively with asynchronous batch processing. Experiments on MovieLens‑1M, Amazon Prime Pantry, and a construction risk dataset show LLMAR surpasses state‑of‑the‑art learning models, achieving up to a 54.6% nDCG@10 improvement while keeping inference costs around $1 per 1,000 users.
arXiv AI
5d ago
Your Language Model is Its Own Critic: Reinforcement Learning with Value Estimation from Actor's Internal States
The paper introduces POISE, a reinforcement learning algorithm that uses a model’s internal states as a value estimator to reduce variance in reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR). By employing a lightweight probe that reads internal signals during the forward pass, POISE predicts baselines online and uses a cross‑rollout construction to keep gradients unbiased. Experiments on Qwen3‑4B and OLMo3‑7B‑Instruct‑DPO across six domains show POISE outperforms existing RLVR baselines, offering more stable training and a value model that generalizes across tasks and scales with the policy.
arXiv AI
Sep 10
Boosting LLM Reasoning via Human-Inspired Reward Shaping
The paper introduces T2T (Thickening-to-Thinning), a dynamic reward framework for large language models that mimics human learning by separating exploration and consolidation phases. During incorrect attempts, T2T encourages exploration to broaden the search space, while after correct solutions it applies length penalties to promote concise reasoning. Experiments on mathematical benchmarks across five mainstream LLMs show that T2T outperforms standard GRPO and recent baselines, improving overall reasoning performance.