arXiv AI

Time Series Forecasting via Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforcement Fine-Tuned LLMs

arXiv AI

Jun 4

Time Series Forecasting as Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforced LLMs

arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.

By Yitong Zhou, Yucong Luo, Mingyue Cheng, Qi Liu, Jiahao Wang, Daoyu Wang, Enhong Chen

llms reinforcement-learning fine-tuning safety

arXiv Machine Learning

Aug 12

REATS: LLM Reasoning-based Ensemble Learning for Adaptive Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 10149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Due to the diversity of real-world time series, no single forecasting model consistently dominates across all samples.

By Xu Zhang, Chang Xu, Hui Sun, Nan Ma, Zijian Zhang, Peng Wang, Wei Wang, Li Zhao

llms fine-tuning benchmarks safety

arXiv AI

Aug 21

TS-Reasoner: Aligning Time Series Foundation Models with LLM Reasoning

arXiv:2510. 03519v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series reasoning is crucial to decision-making in diverse domains, including finance, energy, and scientific discovery.

By Fangxu Yu, Hongyu Zhao, Tianyi Zhou

llms fine-tuning multimodal benchmarks safety

arXiv AI

Aug 5

CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen

llms agents reinforcement-learning fine-tuning

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 26

Forecasting With LLMs: Improved Generalization Through Feature Steering

arXiv:2606. 27199v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Successful forecasting involves identifying patterns between historical and future states of the world which generalize to future observations.

By Humzah Merchant, Bradford Levy

llms safety

arXiv AI

Jun 10

MemCast: Memory-Driven Time Series Forecasting with Experience-Conditioned Reasoning

arXiv:2602. 03164v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a critical role in decision-making for many real-world applications.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Shuo Yu, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Shijin Wang

llms

arXiv AI

Jun 11

Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task

arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.

By Mosh Levy, Yoav Goldberg, Asa Cooper Stickland

llms fine-tuning

arXiv AI

Jun 2

PATRA: Pattern-Aware Alignment and Balanced Reasoning for Time Series Question Answering

arXiv:2602. 23161v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series reasoning demands both the perception of complex dynamics and logical depth.

By Junkai Lu, Peng Chen, Xingjian Wu, Yang Shu, Chenjuan Guo, Christian S. Jensen, Bin Yang

llms nlp multimodal safety

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 17

ConTex: Reformulating Counterfactual Generation For Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 18049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Decision-making with deep learning-based time series forecasting requires not only accurate predictions but also actionable insights.

By Jan Voets, Hasan Tercan, Tobias Meisen, Sebastian Baum

benchmarks

Hugging Face Trending Papers

Jun 16

ConTex: Reformulating Counterfactual Generation For Time Series Forecasting

Decision-making with deep learning-based time series forecasting requires not only accurate predictions but also actionable insights. However, current architectures do not inherently provide such information.

benchmarks

arXiv AI

Aug 3

TimeRFT: Stimulating Generalizable Time Series Forecasting for TSFMs via Reinforcement Finetuning

arXiv:2605. 00015v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated strong generalization capability and data efficiency in time series forecasting through large-scale pretraining.

By Siyang Li, Yize Chen, Zijie Zhu, Yuxin Pan, Yan Guo, Ming Huang, Hui Xiong

reinforcement-learning fine-tuning benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jun 12

Representing Time Series as Structured Programs for LLM Reasoning

arXiv:2606. 12481v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong reasoning and instruction-following capabilities, making them potentially powerful tools for time-series analysis.

By Jaeho Kim, Changhun Oh, Seokhyun Lee, Irina Rish, Changhee Lee

llms nlp

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