arXiv:2606. 01602v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Pairwise dependence measures such as correlation and causality are fundamental to temporal data mining, yet there is still no principled and robust way to quantify dependence between heterogeneous data types, especially between continuous time series and discrete temporal event sequences.
arXiv:2602. 01135v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive models trained via next-token prediction implicitly learn the conditional independence structure of their data-generating process.
arXiv:2606. 18729v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data valuation quantifies the intrinsic quality of individual samples to enable principled data curation, quality control, and robust learning.
The paper presents RCBNB-MB, a causal discovery algorithm that relaxes the assumption of a single, time‑consistent causal structure in time series. It identifies latent causal regimes—subsets of time points where a stable causal graph holds—and iteratively segments the series to recover both regime transitions and the corresponding causal graphs using Markov blankets. The authors provide theoretical guarantees and demonstrate through simulations and real IT monitoring data that RCBNB-MB outperforms baseline methods in detecting regime changes and their causal structures.
The paper introduces a synthetic benchmark for multimodal time‑series forecasting that evaluates how well text annotations contribute to predictions. By generating controlled signals with semantically correct, incorrect, and irrelevant annotations, the authors can precisely measure the true information content. Six mutual‑information estimators (KSG, MINE, InfoNCE, CCA, PID, and V‑information) are tested, all correctly ranking useful annotations and enabling annotation auditing without model training. The benchmark also highlights each estimator’s limitations and validates findings on seven real datasets, providing practical guidelines for metric implementation.
arXiv:2606. 03631v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is pivotal in high-stakes domains, such as clinical diagnosis and industrial fault detection, where safe deployment necessitates transparent decision-making.
arXiv:2607. 21573v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Faithful explanations of time-series classifiers should identify subsequences that are not only sufficient to preserve a black-box model's prediction, but also necessary for maintaining it.
arXiv:2606. 18729v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data valuation quantifies the intrinsic quality of individual samples to enable principled data curation, quality control, and robust learning.
NOAH is a generative transformer that learns the full multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space. Trained on over 559 million clinical events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual intervention simulation, yielding strong performance on clinical outcomes, ICD chapters, comorbidities, and time‑to‑event prediction.
arXiv:2606. 27599v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While many explainable AI (XAI) methods have been proposed, most are not designed for time-series forecasting models and often rely on the implicit assumption that timestamp features are independent.
arXiv:2608. 19447v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Shocks that spread through the web, such as cybersecurity breach disclosures, can abruptly disrupt financial time series and cause substantial abnormal losses.
arXiv:2608. 11801v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series anomaly prediction aims to identify whether and when anomalies will occur over a future horizon from historical observations.
arXiv:2604. 17616v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems.