arXiv:2606. 18049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Decision-making with deep learning-based time series forecasting requires not only accurate predictions but also actionable insights.
By Jan Voets, Hasan Tercan, Tobias Meisen, Sebastian Baum
Decision-making with deep learning-based time series forecasting requires not only accurate predictions but also actionable insights. However, current architectures do not inherently provide such information.
arXiv:2601. 09776v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are essential.
By Khalid Oublal, Quentin Bouniot, Qi Gan, Stephan Cl\'emen\c{c}on, Zeynep Akata
arXiv:2607. 28124v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As forecasts increasingly drive decisions in fields such as energy, transportation, and healthcare, understanding the historical data behind these predictions has become as crucial as the predictions themselves.
By Xu Zheng, Wei Cheng, Zhuomin Chen, Mo Sha, Jingchao Ni, Dongsheng Luo
arXiv:2606. 27599v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While many explainable AI (XAI) methods have been proposed, most are not designed for time-series forecasting models and often rely on the implicit assumption that timestamp features are independent.
By Amadeo Tunyi
arXiv:2607. 27263v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Most benchmarks for causal inference over time series are observational, small, or domain-specific, leaving interventional and counterfactual estimation under-served exactly where it matters most, such as in healthcare, policy evaluation, and climate science.
By Dennis Thumm, Billy Tim Anthony, Ying Chen
arXiv:2604. 17616v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems.
By Shashank Mishra, Karan Patil, Cedric Schockaert, Didier Stricker, Jason Rambach
arXiv:2606. 13571v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-world time series are often highly incomplete and irregular due to sensor dormancy, transmission delays, and event-driven sampling, making reliable forecasting fundamentally challenging.
By Yifan Hu, Hongzhou Chen, Peiyuan Liu, Yiding Liu, Zewei Dong, Jiang-Ming Yang
arXiv:2608. 10120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern sequence models, from Transformers to State Space Models, have enabled powerful generative modeling across diverse domains, yet they are typically trained to predict what happens while treating when it happens as a secondary concern.
By Adrien Schoen, Nachiketa Ratnakar Patil, Arjun Bhagoji, Francesco Bronzino
arXiv:2607. 19382v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning models have shown strong potential for time series forecasting, yet their deployment in real-world environmental monitoring remains challenging due to non-stationary dynamics and limited explainability.
By Quentin Besnard (RFAI), Emmanuel Doumard (BDTLN), Nicolas Labroche (LIFAT, BDTLN), Nicolas Ragot (RFAI), Nicolas Ringuet (BDTLN)
arXiv:2605. 26759v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies.
By Biao Ouyang, Tengxue Zhang, Zhihao Zhuang, Yang Shu, Chenjuan Guo, Bin Yang
arXiv:2607. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Counterfactual explanations explain machine learning predictions by identifying minimal input changes that would alter a model's decision.
By Pavel Iakovets, Liyanapathiranage Sudeepika Wajirakumari Samarathunga, Martin Thomas Horsch, Fadi Al Machot