arXiv AI

Global Explanations for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Models via $K$-Order Markov Approximations

arXiv:2606. 27599v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While many explainable AI (XAI) methods have been proposed, most are not designed for time-series forecasting models and often rely on the implicit assumption that timestamp features are independent.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Trio: Learning Time-Series Forecasting with Temporal-Spatial-Sample Attention and Structural Causal Priors

arXiv:2606. 07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences.

By Tao Chen, Yexu Zhou, Zhi Gong, Hengwei He, Hongda Li, Zhewei Chen, Dongjing Wang, Xin Zhang, Decheng Liu, Chunlei Peng, Zheng Chen, Wenyue Ding
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

TimeSAE: Causal Sparse Decoding for Faithful Explanations of Black-Box Time Series Models

arXiv:2601. 09776v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are essential.

By Khalid Oublal, Quentin Bouniot, Qi Gan, Stephan Cl\'emen\c{c}on, Zeynep Akata
arXiv AI
Jul 23

Challenges of Explainability in Continual Learning for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 19382v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning models have shown strong potential for time series forecasting, yet their deployment in real-world environmental monitoring remains challenging due to non-stationary dynamics and limited explainability.

By Quentin Besnard (RFAI), Emmanuel Doumard (BDTLN), Nicolas Labroche (LIFAT, BDTLN), Nicolas Ragot (RFAI), Nicolas Ringuet (BDTLN)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systems

arXiv:2501. 04339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce the Deep Convolutional Interpreter for Time Series (DCIts), a deep-learning architecture for nonlinear multivariate time series that provides sample-specific, locally interpretable descriptions of the underlying interaction structure.

By Domjan Baric, Davor Horvatic