The paper introduces a causal mediation framework to separate direct discrimination from structural inequality in AI-driven credit decisions. Using Pearl’s natural direct and indirect effects, it presents an identification strategy under treatment‑induced confounding and proposes a doubly‑robust estimator with efficiency guarantees. Empirical analysis of 89,465 mortgage applications shows that about 77% of racial denial disparities stem from financial mediators, while the remaining 23% represents a conservative lower bound on direct discrimination.
arXiv:2607. 19389v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As AI-driven Decision Makers (ADMs) influence our socioeconomic reality, their roles in both enhancing efficiency and amplifying the social biases have drawn attention.
The paper proposes Causal Evidentiary Governance (CEG), a framework that requires regulated institutions to maintain a versioned directed acyclic graph (DAG) separating allowable from disallowed causal pathways in high‑risk machine learning systems. CEG introduces the Causal Harm Rate to quantify prediction variation due to disallowed pathways and pairs each decision with a signed Decision‑Evidence Packet (DEP) that cryptographically links the prediction to the DAG and path‑specific attributions, enabling efficient inclusion proofs via a Merkle tree. Empirical validation on synthetic credit data and the German Credit dataset demonstrates that CEG more clearly isolates causal effects than traditional fairness metrics and that a proof‑of‑concept implementation shows operational feasibility with manageable performance tradeoffs.
arXiv:2607. 28497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Algorithmic recourse aims to provide individuals with actionable changes to improve their predicted outcomes in high-stakes classification settings, such as loan and mortgage applications.
arXiv:2608. 08202v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data-centric curation pipelines frequently rely on model confidence scores to flag and filter noisy or mislabeled training instances.
Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regression remains attractive because its coefficients ar...
arXiv:2608. 12555v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive explanation methods attribute a model output; they do not, by themselves, attribute an intervention effect on the real-world outcome.
arXiv:2608.24582v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regres...
arXiv:2605. 13430v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Selection bias is pervasive in observational studies.
arXiv:2606. 27114v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios.
arXiv:2606. 08275v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When an LLM agent fails -- issues a refund it should not have, calls the wrong tool, leaks data -- existing tooling answers what happened (observability) or whether it passed (evaluation), but not which step caused the failure.
The paper introduces REMI, a framework that treats counterfactual fairness as a relational invariant discovery problem. By learning over paired examples, REMI identifies input regions where fairness is violated and generates interpretable rule-based models—fairness invariants—that can block or relabel unfair predictions without retraining the underlying model. Experiments on symbolic and neural network programs show REMI localizes fairness bugs in over 83% of cases and reduces discriminatory decisions in black-box models by up to 70%.
arXiv:2605. 05882v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Artificial-intelligence systems are becoming ubiquitous in society, yet their predictions typically inherit biases with respect to protected attributes such as race, gender, or age.