arXiv Machine Learning

Robust Market Making with Hawkes Order Flow and Price Impact via Adversarial Reinforcement Learning

The paper proposes an adversarial reinforcement‑learning framework for market making that incorporates Hawkes‑process driven order arrivals and trade‑induced price impact, addressing limitations of prior Poisson‑based models. An LSTM module captures temporal dependencies in recent observations to handle increased non‑stationarity, and the authors analyze equilibrium properties and introduce a robustness evaluation protocol focused on the left tail of returns. Experiments across diverse market regimes demonstrate that the method improves left‑tail performance, especially under strong Hawkes excitation and moderate price impact, without relying on a terminal inventory bias.

arXiv AI
Jul 9

Can Reinforcement Learning Efficiently Discover Price Manipulation?

arXiv:2607. 06121v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this paper, we investigate whether a model-free RL agent can identify and exploit price manipulation opportunities more effectively than a traditional model-based approach that assumes correct specification of the data-generating process but relies on noisy parameter estimates.

By Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki, Andrea Macr\`i, Fabrizio Lillo
arXiv AI
Jul 7

Strategic Buying Agents

arXiv:2607. 04708v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Agentic AI is shifting online shopping from search toward delegated purchasing, where autonomous buying agents monitor markets and decide when to buy on a consumer's behalf.

By Mingyang Fu, Ming Hu
arXiv AI
Sep 21

Taming the Adversary: A Cost-to-Disturbance Ratio Approach to Adversarial Reinforcement Learning

The paper introduces CoDRA, a cost-to-disturbance ratio approach for adversarial reinforcement learning that balances controller performance and disturbance exposure without extra penalty terms. CoDRA uses a self‑normalized actor–critic update, scaling value terms by a stop‑gradient normalization constant derived from the current batch. Experiments on MuJoCo pendulum tasks show that CoDRA achieves the lowest cost across a range of forces and masses, outperforming other methods especially on the more challenging InvertedDoublePendulum environment.

By Taeho Lee, Donghwan Lee
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 6

Robust Control under Stationary Ambiguity

arXiv:2608. 04832v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Control policies optimized in simulation can perform poorly in the real system when the parameters $x$ of the simulator are estimated from limited data but the resulting parameter uncertainty is not represented inside the simulation.

By Konrad J. Mueller, Amira Akkari, Ben Wood, Lukas Gonon
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 6

Strategic Buying Agents

Agentic AI is shifting online shopping from search toward delegated purchasing, where autonomous buying agents monitor markets and decide when to buy on a consumer's behalf. We study the design of such strategic buying agents, which must decide when to purchase within a finite shopping window, translating price observations, the remaining time horizon, and beliefs about future price changes into a purchase policy.