Adversarial Training for Deep Hedging in Nonstationary Markets
Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
The paper introduces a penalized distributionally robust optimization framework that allows an adversary to choose any distribution while incurring a Wasserstein penalty for deviating from the empirical distribution. It shows that the adversary’s problem can be reformulated as optimizing transport maps that push empirical samples to adversarial ones, proving that optimal maps are cyclically monotone. The authors argue that standard per-sample adversarial training violates this property and propose two remedies—multi-start particle ascent and input-convex neural network parameterization—to enforce cyclical monotonicity, demonstrating improved robustness and generalization in experiments on regression, image classification, and control tasks.
arXiv:2606. 00320v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present an online, distribution-free framework for controlling the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), extending conformal tail risk control to non-stationary and adversarial environments.
The paper introduces the Distributionally Robust Schr"odinger Bridge (DRSB), a method that learns a single controller capable of handling uncertainty in the initial distribution for stochastic transport tasks. DRSB’s objective combines control energy with a KL penalty on the terminal distribution, and it seeks to minimize the worst‑case value of this objective over an ambiguity set around the nominal initial distribution. The authors derive a variational formulation, connect it to stochastic optimal control and distributionally robust optimization, and propose an alternating algorithm with Wasserstein and Sinkhorn variants. Experiments on two‑dimensional transport and image‑to‑image translation demonstrate improved robustness to input perturbations compared to standard SB, while also achieving lower mean sliced Wasserstein distance on Gaussian mixture transport.
arXiv:2608. 13133v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Distributional shifts arise when the target deployment environment differs from the source environment that generated the training data.
The paper proposes an adversarial reinforcement‑learning framework for market making that incorporates Hawkes‑process driven order arrivals and trade‑induced price impact, addressing limitations of prior Poisson‑based models. An LSTM module captures temporal dependencies in recent observations to handle increased non‑stationarity, and the authors analyze equilibrium properties and introduce a robustness evaluation protocol focused on the left tail of returns. Experiments across diverse market regimes demonstrate that the method improves left‑tail performance, especially under strong Hawkes excitation and moderate price impact, without relying on a terminal inventory bias.
arXiv:2410. 07719v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Despite being widely adopted as a canonical framework for learning robust models, adversarial training suffers from robust overfitting.