arXiv:2602.22293v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Accurate river prediction is essential for water, food and energy security, yet remains challenging across entire river networks. Machine learning...
By Hancheng Ren, Gang Zhao, Shuo Wang, Louise Slater, Dai Yamazaki, Shu Liu, Jingfang Fan, Xueying Li, Shibo Cui, Ziming Yu, Shengyu Kang, Depeng Zuo, Dingzhi Peng, Zongxue Xu, Bo Pang
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
The paper introduces a physics‑refined framework for spatiotemporal forecasting on open‑boundary hydrologic graphs, addressing instability caused by missing external boundary forcing. It learns ghost node proxies to approximate unobserved inputs and applies two physics refiners: one enforcing local consistency with two‑hop neighbors, and another using a physics‑guided graph neural operator to reduce long‑horizon drift. Experiments on two real‑world hydrologic graphs show improved prediction accuracy and stability compared to existing learning‑based and physics‑informed models.
By Haoyang Jiang, Zhengui Wang, Shenghan Gao, Y. Joseph Zhang, Xingquan Zhu, Yi He
The paper introduces AmazonSWE, a dataset covering over 19,000 river sections in the Amazon basin for 10 years, combining satellite altimetry and in‑situ gauge data to enable large‑scale spatiotemporal graph imputation. The authors highlight the extreme sparsity of observations—less than 1% of sections per day—and the directed acyclic topology of river networks, which challenge existing imputation methods. They propose a bidirectional selective state‑space model that samples connected subgraphs and uses topology‑aware positional encodings, achieving 18–39% lower RMSE than the current state‑of‑the‑art SWOT‑based approach while providing predictions for all river sections.
arXiv:2609.39005v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Emergency managers need to know where floodwater is, how deep it is, and how it will change over the coming hours across an entire river basin. During...
By Yanjie Tong, Phillip Si, Yuan Qiu, Peng Chen
The paper introduces AmazonSWE, a dataset covering over 19,000 river sections in the Amazon basin for 10 years (2016‑2026) that integrates satellite altimetry, including SWOT, to enable large‑scale spatiotemporal graph imputation. The dataset is extremely sparse—fewer than 1% of sections are observed daily—and features a directed acyclic river topology that is larger and structurally distinct from existing benchmarks. The authors demonstrate that conventional imputation methods struggle with this topology, scale, and sparsity, and propose a bidirectional selective state‑space model that outperforms prior approaches, reducing RMSE against in‑situ gauges by 18‑39% and providing predictions for every river section.
whyItMatters":"AmazonSWE offers a novel, real‑world use case that could improve flood forecasting and water resource management by enabling more accurate and comprehensive water surface elevation estimates across a vast, sparsely monitored river network."
By Ruben Cartuyvels, Karim Douch, Gabriele Bertoli, Mounia El Baz, Artemis Vrettou, S\'ebastien Lef\`evre, Diego Fernandez Prieto