Pearl famously argues that causal knowledge enables the prediction of intervention effects. By contrast, purely descriptive knowledge supports only conclusions drawn from observations.
arXiv:2608. 07230v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic logic programming is a formalism of statistical relational artificial intelligence that supports causal queries, including interventions from outside the system.
By Zora Wurm, Kilian R\"uckschlo{\ss}, Felix Weitk\"amper
arXiv:2607. 21233v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Motivated by challenging modelling issues in the life sciences, we investigate the relationship between logic programming semantics and the eventual states of causal processes compatible with those logic programs.
By Felix Weitk\"amper
arXiv:2606. 29681v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur.
By Ryohei Oura, Georgios Fainekos, Hideki Okamoto, Bardh Hoxha
arXiv:2606. 28024v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Lifted inference exploits indistinguishabilities in probabilistic graphical models by using a representative for indistinguishable objects, thereby speeding up query answering while maintaining exact answers.
By Malte Luttermann, Tanya Braun, Ralf M\"oller, Marcel Gehrke
Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur. Probability-raising (PR) causality addresses this by identifying states whose visitation increases the probability of reaching designated states.
arXiv:2607. 26787v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are widely used as decision-making models, commonly specified over factored state spaces through state variables and their valuations.
By Jule Schmidt, Maximilian Weininger, Clemens Dubslaff, David Parker, Nils Jansen
arXiv:2602. 16481v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery seeks to uncover causal relations from data, typically represented as causal graphs, and is essential for predicting the effects of interventions.
By Zihao Li, Fabrizio Russo
This paper addresses Carl Hempel's longstanding problem of statistical ambiguity in inductive-statistical inference, in which contradictory predictions are derived from statistical laws. To avoid such predictions, Carl Hempel proposed the Requirement of Maximal Specificity (RMS) for the statistical laws used in the inference.
arXiv:2501. 06857v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Perhaps the most popular modern formulation of actual causality is the HP account by Halpern and Pearl.
By Daxin Liu (Nanjing University), Vaishak Belle (The University of Edinburgh)
arXiv:2607. 12826v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper addresses Carl Hempel's longstanding problem of statistical ambiguity in inductive-statistical inference, in which contradictory predictions are derived from statistical laws.
By Evgenii Vityaev
arXiv:2608. 13018v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Standard probabilistic logic programming frameworks typically rely on grounding logic programs into discrete propositional representations.
By Costin B\u{a}dic\u{a}, Amelia B\u{a}dic\u{a}