Pearl famously argues that causal knowledge enables the prediction of intervention effects. By contrast, purely descriptive knowledge supports only conclusions drawn from observations.
arXiv:2607. 21208v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pearl famously argues that causal knowledge enables the prediction of intervention effects.
By Kilian Rueckschloss (Eberhard Karls Universitaet Tuebingen), Felix Weitkaemper (German University of Digital Science)
arXiv:2607. 21233v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Motivated by challenging modelling issues in the life sciences, we investigate the relationship between logic programming semantics and the eventual states of causal processes compatible with those logic programs.
By Felix Weitk\"amper
arXiv:2606. 28024v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Lifted inference exploits indistinguishabilities in probabilistic graphical models by using a representative for indistinguishable objects, thereby speeding up query answering while maintaining exact answers.
By Malte Luttermann, Tanya Braun, Ralf M\"oller, Marcel Gehrke
arXiv:2606. 29681v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur.
By Ryohei Oura, Georgios Fainekos, Hideki Okamoto, Bardh Hoxha
arXiv:2608. 13018v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Standard probabilistic logic programming frameworks typically rely on grounding logic programs into discrete propositional representations.
By Costin B\u{a}dic\u{a}, Amelia B\u{a}dic\u{a}
Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur. Probability-raising (PR) causality addresses this by identifying states whose visitation increases the probability of reaching designated states.
arXiv:2606. 06440v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data-driven causal relationship identification is pertinent to advancing understanding of complex systems both within and beyond science.
By Hazhir Aliahmadi, Irina Babayan, Greg van Anders
arXiv:2601. 13735v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Probabilistic confidence metrics are increasingly adopted as proxies for reasoning quality in Best-of-N selection, under the assumption that higher confidence reflects higher reasoning fidelity.
By Hojin Kim, Jaehyung Kim
arXiv:2602. 16481v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery seeks to uncover causal relations from data, typically represented as causal graphs, and is essential for predicting the effects of interventions.
By Zihao Li, Fabrizio Russo
arXiv:2607. 26787v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are widely used as decision-making models, commonly specified over factored state spaces through state variables and their valuations.
By Jule Schmidt, Maximilian Weininger, Clemens Dubslaff, David Parker, Nils Jansen
arXiv:2606. 07113v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models are rapidly becoming infrastructural components in high-stakes institutional settings, including public administration, legal reasoning, and healthcare, where opacity is not merely inconvenient but institutionally and legally untenable.
By Manuele Leonelli