Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur. Probability-raising (PR) causality addresses this by identifying states whose visitation increases the probability of reaching designated states.
arXiv:2606. 29681v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur.
By Ryohei Oura, Georgios Fainekos, Hideki Okamoto, Bardh Hoxha
arXiv:2511. 19849v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recurrence objectives, where a target region must be visited infinitely often, are a fundamental class of specifications for Markov decision processes (MDPs) and form the core of $\omega$-regular and linear temporal logic (LTL) objectives.
By Dominik Wagner, Leon Witzman, Luke Ong
The paper introduces Temporal-Logic-based Causal Diagrams (TL-CDs) for reinforcement learning tasks that involve temporally extended goals. TL-CDs encode causal relationships among environmental properties, complementing deterministic finite automata that model rewards. By leveraging TL-CDs, the authors design an RL algorithm that can predict expected rewards early, leading to significantly reduced exploration and faster convergence to optimal policies.
By Yash Paliwal, Rajarshi Roy, Jean-Rapha\"el Gaglione, Nasim Baharisangari, Daniel Neider, Xiaoming Duan, Ufuk Topcu, Zhe Xu
arXiv:2609.05459v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Reinforcement learning and large language models often struggle to accurately capture the causal mechanics of game environments. Standard reinforcement...
By Mohit Jiwatode, Bodo Rosenhahn, Alexander Dockhorn
arXiv:2510. 27544v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current training paradigms, optimized for long-horizon reasoning trace execution, have made Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at pattern matching and forward simulation of reasoning, but underperform at counterfactual causal understanding and reasoning.
By Nikolaus Holzer, William Fishell, Baishakhi Ray, Mark Santolucito