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How Rules Represent Causal Knowledge: Causal Modeling with Probabilistic Logic Programming

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Pearl famously argues that causal knowledge enables the prediction of intervention effects. By contrast, purely descriptive knowledge supports only conclusions drawn from observations.

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arXiv AI
Jul 24

Logic Programming Semantics for Causal Processes

arXiv:2607. 21233v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Motivated by challenging modelling issues in the life sciences, we investigate the relationship between logic programming semantics and the eventual states of causal processes compatible with those logic programs.

By Felix Weitk\"amper
arXiv AI
Sep 4

Symmetries and Causality: Causal Effect Identification Beyond IID Data

The paper introduces a formal framework that uses symmetries in data to keep causal mechanisms invariant, providing a simple and general mathematical language for causal reasoning. It outlines how to describe models and queries, and presents strategies for rigorously identifying causal effects from data within this framework. The approach reproduces known results for IID data and extends causal analysis to non‑IID settings, complex queries beyond do‑ or soft‑interventions, and incorporates missing data, transfer, and robustness considerations.

By Martin Rabel, Jakob Runge
arXiv AI
Jun 29

Lifted Causal Inference

arXiv:2606. 28024v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Lifted inference exploits indistinguishabilities in probabilistic graphical models by using a representative for indistinguishable objects, thereby speeding up query answering while maintaining exact answers.

By Malte Luttermann, Tanya Braun, Ralf M\"oller, Marcel Gehrke