The paper introduces information set emulation, a method that attaches detailed causal certificates—such as source evidence, timing, and proposed causal roles—to AI‑derived features extracted from electronic health records (EHRs). These certificates provide auditable evidence for causal roles and guide whether a feature can be used for causal inference or should be routed to compatible reporting or separate analyses. The framework integrates with a joint EHR observation map and offers identification, estimation, and diagnostic tools under standard causal assumptions, illustrated through synthetic simulations and a finite‑world example.
arXiv:2608. 19501v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Diagnostic medical tests and devices provide useful information for evaluating the potential benefits and risks of therapeutic treatments.
arXiv:2604. 16763v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference from electronic health records (EHR) is fundamentally limited by unmeasured confounding: critical clinical states such as frailty, goals of care, and mental status are documented in free-text notes but absent from structured data.
arXiv:2507. 20993v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study how to learn treatment policies from multimodal electronic health records (EHRs) that consist of tabular data and clinical text.
The article proposes a framework called quantitative evidence mining to transform biomedical findings into structured, context-rich evidence units. It outlines core elements such as claim, measured entity, value, comparator, population, conditions, temporal context, uncertainty, provenance, validation, and expert review. The authors present an eight-stage reference architecture and emphasize that plausibility should remain multidimensional rather than collapsed into a single truth label, linking extraction to evidence synthesis for applications like clinical trials, biomarker research, and knowledge-graph construction.
AI-generated covariates from notes, conversations, images, and wearable streams can change the causal question when their roles are left unspecified. A generated feature may represent a treatment vers...
arXiv:2608. 07796v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models perform strongly on medical knowledge benchmarks, but reliable clinical deployment requires agents to conduct defensible investigations over heterogeneous, longitudinal records: determining what evidence is needed, retrieving and reconciling structured and free-text data, grounding conclusions in verifiable evidence, and deferring cases that cannot be resolved reliably.
The paper introduces a causal type discipline for sequential experiments that use AI-generated covariates. It defines a framework—including a versioned representation map, causal role classifier, claim-status filter, and estimand lock—to ensure that generated features are correctly classified as treatments, mediators, outcomes, or other roles, thereby preserving the intended causal estimand. The authors apply this framework to analyze compression bias, mediator adjustment, leakage, and other issues, demonstrating through simulations that careful refinement of generated covariates can reduce bias while design erasure or improper selection can lead to bias or undercoverage.
The paper introduces structured evidence routing for incident risk prediction using multimodal longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs). It proposes a router‑predictor‑reviewer workflow that condenses full patient records into compact summaries and targeted evidence slices, enabling a predictor to generate evidence‑linked risk assessments that a reviewer can critique. Experiments on five one‑year incident diagnosis tasks show that the method matches the AUROC of established supervised EHRSHOT baselines and remains competitive on AUPRC, while providing a patient‑specific evidence trail.
arXiv:2608. 08288v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time from longitudinal observational data is central to clinical decision support.
arXiv:2602. 00541v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Clinical events captured in Electronic Health Records (EHR) are irregularly sampled and may consist of a mixture of discrete events and numerical measurements, such as laboratory values or treatment dosages.
arXiv:2608.22062v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Longitudinal clinical event-relation verification determines whether a patient record supports a specified relation among two or more clinical events....
arXiv:2606. 28798v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Objective: ICD codes are central to reimbursement, research, and population health surveillance, yet automated coding systems often struggle to integrate diagnostic signals from both clinical narratives and structured electronic health record (EHR) variables.