arXiv:2606. 25811v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Commodity futures can be represented hierarchically, with underlying assets at the upper level and individual futures contracts at the lower level.
By Yoonsik Hong, Diego Klabjan
arXiv:2510. 17088v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial anomalies arise from heterogeneous mechanisms - price shocks, liquidity freezes, contagion cascades, and momentum reversals - yet existing detectors produce uniform anomaly scores without revealing which mechanism is failing or where risks concentrate.
By Zan Li, Rui Fan
arXiv:2607. 14416v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The interconnected nature of global financial systems makes them vulnerable to systemic risks, where the failure of a few institutions can trigger catastrophic cascading defaults.
By Rabimba Karanjai, Hemanth Madhavarao, Lei Xu, Weidong Shi
arXiv:2605. 26290v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal signed networks (TSNs) model the time evolution of cooperative and adversarial relationships that arise in applications such as social media analysis, trust and reputation systems, and financial transaction networks.
By Derek Regier, Andrew Polyak, Aresh Dadlani, Khosro Salmani
arXiv:2606. 27863v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Demand forecasting at the bottom of a retail hierarchy requires predicting tens of thousands of correlated long-horizon series across products, stores, and regions.
By Janak M. Patel, Anirudh Deodhar, Dagnachew Birru
arXiv:2512. 02436v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Prediction markets allow users to trade on outcomes of real-world events, but are prone to fragmentation with overlapping questions, implicit equivalences, and hidden contradictions across markets.
By Agostino Capponi, Alfio Gliozzo, Brian Zhu
arXiv:2607. 05179v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In liberalised railway systems, operators must set prices dynamically in an environment with partial observability, as they retain private information about their objectives and performance, where regulatory constraints prohibit communication or direct information exchange between competitors to prevent explicit collusion.
By Enrique Adrian Villarrubia-Martin, David Mu\~noz-Valero, Luis Rodriguez-Benitez, Giovanni Montana, Luis Jimenez-Linares
arXiv:2606. 29773v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Graphs are widely used to model relational systems, with applications in domains such as social networks, finance, and biomedicine.
By Haoxin Sun, Yiqing Lin, Yajun Huang, Chenhui Dong, Mingjun Li, Zhongzhi Zhang
arXiv:2606. 08303v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper investigates a novel concept of time series geolocalization, where the goal is to infer the geographic origin of each raw time series.
By Toan Tran, Waqwoya Abebe, Abhishek Potnis, Supriya Chinthavali, Cyrus Shahabi, Li Xiong, Dalton Lunga
arXiv:2606. 05116v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce the Graph Set Transformer (GST), a neural network architecture for learning on sets of graphs, designed for tasks in which per-element predictions depend on set-wide context as well as local structure.
By Jose E. Escrig Molina, Baoquan Chen, Daniel Probst
arXiv:2509. 09474v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We address the task of temporal knowledge graph forecasting with an inherently interpretable method based on symbolic rules.
By Julia Gastinger, Christian Meilicke, Heiner Stuckenschmidt
arXiv:2606. 13024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems.
By Bo Liu, Di Dai, Jingwei Liu, Jiarui Jin, Xiaocheng Fang, Guangkun Nie, Hongyan Li, Shenda Hong