arXiv:2606. 28553v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In many real-world applications, such as retail sales, energy usage, and supply chain planning, forecasting is performed across hierarchical structures.
By Ruchi Pakhle
The paper presents a Causal Graph‑Informed Temporal Convolutional Network (CG‑TCN) that fuses a learned causal graph with a temporal convolutional network to forecast retail electricity prices. By decomposing price series into multi‑resolution trends and discovering a causal graph over these components and key covariates, the model conditions its convolutions and attention on causal pathways. On ten years of Ohio residential contracts, CG‑TCN outperforms benchmarks, achieving MAEps of 3.08%, 3.82%, and 5.43% for one‑, ten‑, and fifteen‑step‑ahead forecasts, respectively.
By Yufan Ji, Abdollah Shafieezadeh, Noah Dormady
arXiv:2609.06085v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Understanding the joint dynamics of prices and trades is central to market microstructure, where returns and order flow interact through nonlinear an...
By Manuel Naviglio, Fabrizio Lillo
arXiv:2607. 28124v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As forecasts increasingly drive decisions in fields such as energy, transportation, and healthcare, understanding the historical data behind these predictions has become as crucial as the predictions themselves.
By Xu Zheng, Wei Cheng, Zhuomin Chen, Mo Sha, Jingchao Ni, Dongsheng Luo
arXiv:2609.25179v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) is essential for effective predictive maintenance. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (ST-GNNs), which ca...
By Ya Song, Laurens Bliek, Yaoxin Wu, Yingqian Zhang
arXiv:2503. 24007v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In time series forecasting, covariates represent external factors that influence target variables.
By Yosuke Yamaguchi, Issei Suemitsu, Wenpeng Wei
arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.
By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv:2607. 02344v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Transformer architectures have shown strong potential in time series forecasting, where multi-head self-attention is widely used to capture temporal dependencies across historical timestamps.
By Dezheng Wang, Tong Chen, Wei Yuan, Congyan Chen, Shihua Li, Hongzhi Yin
arXiv:2606. 08896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially.
By Qianyang Li, Xingjun Zhang, Shaoxun Wang, Tao Peng, Jia Wei
arXiv:2607. 29459v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large-scale multivariate time series from heterogeneous IoT sensors demand accurate long-term forecasting for resource scheduling and predictive maintenance.
By Yu Sun, Yuan Chang, Xiaohou Shi, Yan Sun
Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.
The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. Two task‑specific architectures built on m‑WCN—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—are shown to outperform baseline models on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks, achieving average improvements of nearly 20% in both tasks. The approach leverages trainable convolutional operators and orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations.
By Xiaohan Jiang, Jingyuan Wang, Jiahao Ji, Yongyao Wang, Chen Yang, Junjie Wu