arXiv AI

GNBAN: Graph Neural Basis Attention Networks for Long-Horizon Forecasting over Large Entity Sets

arXiv:2606. 27863v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Demand forecasting at the bottom of a retail hierarchy requires predicting tens of thousands of correlated long-horizon series across products, stores, and regions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

A causal graph-informed temporal convolution architecture for interpretable retail electricity price forecasting

The paper presents a Causal Graph‑Informed Temporal Convolutional Network (CG‑TCN) that fuses a learned causal graph with a temporal convolutional network to forecast retail electricity prices. By decomposing price series into multi‑resolution trends and discovering a causal graph over these components and key covariates, the model conditions its convolutions and attention on causal pathways. On ten years of Ohio residential contracts, CG‑TCN outperforms benchmarks, achieving MAEps of 3.08%, 3.82%, and 5.43% for one‑, ten‑, and fifteen‑step‑ahead forecasts, respectively.

By Yufan Ji, Abdollah Shafieezadeh, Noah Dormady
arXiv AI
Aug 18

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

FAME: Forecastability-Aware Mixture of Experts for Heterogeneous Time Series Forecasting

Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.

arXiv AI
Sep 25

Neuralized Multi-Wavelet Decomposition for Time Series Classification and Forecasting

The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. Two task‑specific architectures built on m‑WCN—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—are shown to outperform baseline models on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks, achieving average improvements of nearly 20% in both tasks. The approach leverages trainable convolutional operators and orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations.

By Xiaohan Jiang, Jingyuan Wang, Jiahao Ji, Yongyao Wang, Chen Yang, Junjie Wu