arXiv AI By Bo Liu, Di Dai, Jingwei Liu, Jiarui Jin, Xiaocheng Fang, Guangkun Nie, Hongyan Li, Shenda Hong

CausalMoE: A Billion-Scale Multimodal Foundation Model for Granger Causal Discovery with Pattern-Routed Heterogeneous Experts

Read the original on arXiv AI →

arXiv:2606. 13024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv AI.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Use What You Know: Causal Foundation Models with Partial Graphs

arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.

By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Causal Local States: Scalable Simultaneous Causal Network Inference and Forecasting for Dynamical Systems

The paper introduces Causal Local States (CLS), a framework that simultaneously infers an approximate Granger‑causal interaction network and forecasts the dynamics of a system. CLS selects, for each node, the smallest set of neighbors that enables near‑optimal prediction, and then combines these local neighborhoods to forecast the entire system. Experiments on three increasingly difficult benchmarks show that CLS reconstructs the underlying networks with high fidelity and achieves forecast accuracy comparable to a model that uses the true network.

By Jonas Braun, Fabian Fischbach, Daniel K\"oglmayr, Sebastian Baur, Christoph R\"ath