arXiv AI By Janak M. Patel, Anirudh Deodhar, Dagnachew Birru

GNBAN: Graph Neural Basis Attention Networks for Long-Horizon Forecasting over Large Entity Sets

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arXiv:2606. 27863v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Demand forecasting at the bottom of a retail hierarchy requires predicting tens of thousands of correlated long-horizon series across products, stores, and regions.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

A causal graph-informed temporal convolution architecture for interpretable retail electricity price forecasting

The paper presents a Causal Graph‑Informed Temporal Convolutional Network (CG‑TCN) that fuses a learned causal graph with a temporal convolutional network to forecast retail electricity prices. By decomposing price series into multi‑resolution trends and discovering a causal graph over these components and key covariates, the model conditions its convolutions and attention on causal pathways. On ten years of Ohio residential contracts, CG‑TCN outperforms benchmarks, achieving MAEps of 3.08%, 3.82%, and 5.43% for one‑, ten‑, and fifteen‑step‑ahead forecasts, respectively.

By Yufan Ji, Abdollah Shafieezadeh, Noah Dormady