arXiv AI

CausalMoE: A Billion-Scale Multimodal Foundation Model for Granger Causal Discovery with Pattern-Routed Heterogeneous Experts

arXiv:2606. 13024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems.

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 15

Time Series Causal Discovery via Context-Conditioned and Causality-Augmented Pretraining

arXiv:2605. 26759v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies.

By Biao Ouyang, Tengxue Zhang, Zhihao Zhuang, Yang Shu, Chenjuan Guo, Bin Yang

arXiv AI

Jun 17

FoundCause: Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders from Observational Data

arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.

By Patrick Bl\"obaum, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian, Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

llms

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 26

Use What You Know: Causal Foundation Models with Partial Graphs

arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.

By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 31

Causal Discovery with Inverted Self-attention for Multivariate Time Series

arXiv:2607. 28212v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery in multivariate time series data is challenging due to complex interactions, high dimensionality, and nonlinear dependencies among variables.

By Yusen Liu, Yong Wang, Yifan Yin, Tianqing Zhu, Xiufeng Liu, Huan Huo

llms efficiency benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 31

Re-examining Granger Causality with Causal Bayesian Networks and Reichenbachs Principles

arXiv:2501. 02672v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Granger causality (GC) is widely used to infer directed relationships in time-series data.

By S. A. Adedayo

benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Aug 11

CGRL: Causal-Guided Representation Learning for Node-Level Out-of-Distribution Generalization

arXiv:2603. 24304v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) deliver strong performance on graph tasks, but their accuracy drops significantly under out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios.

By Bowen Lu, Liangqiang Yang, Teng Li, Kun Zhang

diffusion benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 14

DAG-FM: A Foundation Model for Causal Discovery under Heterogeneous Causal Mechanisms

arXiv:2607. 11510v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational tabular data remains fundamentally challenging, primarily due to the heterogeneity of underlying causal mechanisms and the high-dimensional combinatorial search space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs).

By Yikang Chen, Zhengkang Guan, Haoyuan Qian, Peng Cui, Yi Yang, Kun Kuang

llms benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 3

Your Autoregressive Model Already Reveals the Causal Graph

arXiv:2602. 01135v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive models trained via next-token prediction implicitly learn the conditional independence structure of their data-generating process.

By Hugo Math, Rainer Lienhart

arXiv AI

Jun 17

A Gradient-based Causal Discovery Framework with Applications to Complex Industrial Processes

arXiv:2507. 11178v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: With the advancement of deep learning technologies, various neural network-based Granger causality models have been proposed.

By Meiliang Liu, Huiwen Dong, Xiaoxiao Yang, Yunfang Xu, Mingbao Yang, Zijin Li, Zhengye Si, Xinyue Yang, Zhiwen Zhao

efficiency

arXiv AI

Jul 14

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.

By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui

arXiv AI

Jun 10

Causal Ensemble Agent: Hierarchical Causal Discovery with LLM-guided Expert Reweighting

arXiv:2606. 10607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery aims to uncover causal structures from observational data, which is crucial for real-world decision-making.

By Xinyu Li, Yuanyuan Wang, Haoxuan Li, Chuan Zhou, Erdun Gao, Bo Han, Tongliang Liu, Kun Zhang, Howard Bondell, Mingming Gong

llms agents safety

arXiv AI

Jun 24

Invariant Graph Representations for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs Under Distribution Shifts

arXiv:2405. 19062v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs (CTDGs) enable fine-grained modeling of evolving relational systems.

By Lanting Fang, Yulian Yang, Yawei Zhang, Shanshan Feng, Kaiyu Feng, Hanning Yuan

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