arXiv:2606. 13024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems.
arXiv:2605. 26759v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies.
arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
arXiv:2608.28603v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Unified Multimodal Models aim to achieve any-to-any understanding and generation across arbitrary modalities. However, existing methods primarily rely...
The paper introduces Causal Local States (CLS), a framework that simultaneously infers an approximate Granger‑causal interaction network and forecasts the dynamics of a system. CLS selects, for each node, the smallest set of neighbors that enables near‑optimal prediction, and then combines these local neighborhoods to forecast the entire system. Experiments on three increasingly difficult benchmarks show that CLS reconstructs the underlying networks with high fidelity and achieves forecast accuracy comparable to a model that uses the true network.
arXiv:2607. 28212v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery in multivariate time series data is challenging due to complex interactions, high dimensionality, and nonlinear dependencies among variables.
TabCausal is a causal discovery foundation model that learns to map datasets directly to causal graphs by pretraining across diverse causal environments. It uses a dynamic task construction strategy to expose the model to varied graph priors, mechanisms, noise models, dimensions, sample sizes, and intervention regimes, improving transferability from observational and mixed‑interventional data. On large synthetic benchmarks and a new protocol‑guided semantic benchmark, TabCausal outperforms many classical baselines and shows robust structure recovery, especially when interventional evidence is available.
arXiv:2501. 02672v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Granger causality (GC) is widely used to infer directed relationships in time-series data.
arXiv:2603. 24304v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) deliver strong performance on graph tasks, but their accuracy drops significantly under out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios.
arXiv:2607. 11510v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational tabular data remains fundamentally challenging, primarily due to the heterogeneity of underlying causal mechanisms and the high-dimensional combinatorial search space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs).
arXiv:2602. 01135v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive models trained via next-token prediction implicitly learn the conditional independence structure of their data-generating process.
Neuro-Causal Factor Analysis (NCFA) reimagines traditional factor analysis by integrating causal structure learning and deep generative modeling. The method learns a directed graph linking latent and observed variables, then trains a deep generative model that respects the graph’s Markov factorization. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets show NCFA achieves lower reconstruction error than standard FA and better latent distribution recovery than a variational autoencoder, while offering a sparser architecture, reduced complexity, and causal interpretability.