arXiv AI By Agostino Capponi, Alfio Gliozzo, Brian Zhu

Agentic AI for Clustering, Relationship Discovery, and Semantic Trading in Prediction Markets

Read the original on arXiv AI →

arXiv:2512. 02436v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Prediction markets allow users to trade on outcomes of real-world events, but are prone to fragmentation with overlapping questions, implicit equivalences, and hidden contradictions across markets.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv AI.

arXiv AI
Jun 2

AgentDS Technical Report: Benchmarking the Future of Human-AI Collaboration in Domain-Specific Data Science

arXiv:2603. 19005v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data science plays a critical role in transforming complex data into actionable insights across numerous domains.

By An Luo, Jin Du, Xun Xian, Robert Specht, Fangqiao Tian, Ganghua Wang, Xuan Bi, Charles Fleming, Ashish Kundu, Jayanth Srinivasa, Mingyi Hong, Rui Zhang, Tianxi Li, Galin Jones, Jie Ding
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

Unlocking the Forecasting Economy: A Suite of Datasets for the Full Lifecycle of Prediction Market: [Experiments \& Analysis]

The paper introduces a continuously synchronized dataset suite covering the entire lifecycle of decentralized prediction markets, from market creation to final settlement. It integrates market metadata, fill-level trading records, and oracle-resolution events into a unified relational system, providing over 3.29 million market records, 1.90 billion order executions, and 21 million oracle events from October 2020 to the present. The authors detail the data model, collection pipeline, and consistency mechanisms, and demonstrate the dataset’s usefulness for sports betting, economic forecasting, and blockchain research, with public access via a website and interactive tools.

By Huaiyu Jia, Luofeng Zhou, Wentao Zhang, Lin William Cong, Siguang Li, Shuo Sun
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

TradingMoE: Routing the Right Experts in Evolving Markets

arXiv:2608. 11785v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong potential for financial analysis and trading, but direct trading remains challenging because the predictive capabilities required can vary across assets, decision fields, and market conditions.

By Chang Zhou, Xingtong Yu, Minbin Huang, Zhennan Wu, Yuan Fang, Hong Cheng, Xinming Zhang