The paper introduces a framework that distinguishes two causes of saturation in clinical prediction: a learner gap, where the model fails to use available information, and a measurement‑channel ceiling, where the recorded variables limit performance. It provides theoretical characterizations, finite‑sample diagnostics, and empirical audits across three large cohorts, showing that well‑tuned models approach the frontier while deficient learners leave large gaps. A PRISMA‑guided synthesis across 104 tasks reveals consistent channel‑level patterns, suggesting that improving the learner or the measurement channel can audit and potentially lift performance.
By Sayeed Shafayet Chowdhury, Nusrat Jahan, Snehasis Mukhopadhyay, Shiaofen Fang, Vijay R. Ramakrishnan
arXiv:2607. 26752v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Medical world models aim to learn a latent state of patient or organ physiology and a transition function that forecasts how that state evolves under interventions, supporting downstream tasks from imaging-based diagnosis to digital-twin treatment planning.
By Behraj Khan, Shabir Ahmad, Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari, Tahir Qasim Syed
The paper evaluates machine learning models that predict retention and premature discontinuation in medication for opioid use disorder (MOUD). Using the Treatment Episode Data Set-Discharges (TEDS‑D) from 2015‑2019, the authors trained four models and examined overall performance as well as subgroup error rates by race, ethnicity, age, and sex. They also tested bias‑mitigation techniques, finding that these can reduce but not eliminate performance gaps without harming predictive accuracy.
By Tongnian Wang, Carolina Vivas-Valencia, Cici Bauer, Yanmin Gong, Kim-Kwang Raymond Choo, Yuanxiong Guo
arXiv:2607. 20453v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models show promise for clinical prediction, but zero-shot performance on specialized tasks is limited by incomplete domain knowledge, especially for smaller locally deployable models.
By Jessica Sena, Shesadree Priyadarshani, Miguel Contreras, Bharat Gandhi, Scott Siegel, Subhash Nerella, Parisa Rashidi
arXiv:2606. 17113v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Distinguishing causal adverse drug events (ADEs) from spurious correlations remains a central challenge in pharmacovigilance.
By Csaba Kiss, Roland Molontay, Gabriele Pergola
arXiv:2607. 28788v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Clinical diagnosis at hospital admission must be made rapidly from limited, incomplete evidence.
By Jiahui Li, Ruili Fang, Zishuai Liu, Yutong Guo, Nan Yang, Wenzhan Song, Jin Lu, Fei Dou
arXiv:2609.24338v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: An Intraoperative Hypotension (IOH) event is a frequent complication during administration of general anaesthesia with serious downstream consequences,...
By Rithin Nagaraj, Sudiksha Chindula, Bhaskarjyoti Das
arXiv:2605. 12895v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Clinical decision-support systems are expert systems whose recommendations clinicians act on directly, yet they are usually cleared on one aggregate accuracy number from a held-out test set.
By Rohith Reddy Bellibatlu, Manpreet Singh, Yash Jajoo, Shyamal Lakhanpal, Abhishek Israni
arXiv:2609.37858v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Many localized large language model (LLM) unlearning methods select a small parameter subset from a localization signal and keep it fixed during optimi...
By Tianhao Qian, Ziming Hong, Chongyang Gao, Kezhen Chen, Lixu Wang
The paper introduces a bounded updating framework for ICU prediction models that freezes the physiological encoder while allowing updates only to the treatment pathway and fusion head. Experiments on 84,792 MIMIC-IV ICU stays across four temporal shifts show that selective adaptation yields more stable explanations—higher rank correlation, better top‑5 feature agreement, and improved retrieval stability—compared to full model adaptation. Predictive performance varies by outcome, but the results demonstrate that explanation stability is governed by the structural boundaries of allowed adaptation rather than merely by freezing components.
By Fatema Ferdous Tamanna, K. M. Merajul Arefin, Md. Abdul Masud
An Intraoperative Hypotension (IOH) event is a frequent complication during administration of general anaesthesia with serious downstream consequences, yet clinical management remains reactive and not...
arXiv:2606. 01028v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Medical treatment recommendation poses several challenges to reinforcement learning (RL): patient physiology evolves in continuous time, measurements and interventions are performed at irregular intervals, and treatment effects vary substantially across individuals.
By Yuepeng Wang, Ken Kawano, Yongqi Zhou, Yoshihiko Fujisawa, Richard Weiss, Akifumi Wachi, Katsuki Fujisawa, Ying Chen, Mehrshad Sadria, Xin Liu, Kyoung-Sook Kim, Xiao Hu, Sebastien Gros, Xun Shen