arXiv AI

Audit Before You Update: Recording Artifacts and the Limits of Bounded Model Updates in MIMIC-IV ICU Prediction

The paper investigates how to evaluate bounded model updates for ICU prediction models using the MIMIC‑IV database. After auditing the data for recording artifacts and cleaning it, the authors compare a bounded update that retrains only treatment‑context and fusion parameters with full fine‑tuning across two model families and two targets, finding that bounded updates are non‑inferior or superior in most cases but depend on target, model family, and learning‑rate tuning. The study also shows that audits should precede update evaluation and that the update boundary should be chosen per target.

arXiv AI
Aug 21

Drift-Adaptive ICU Intervention Prediction: Freezing the Physiological Encoder for Auditable Model Updating

arXiv:2607. 19020v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Clinical decision support degrades as treatment protocols evolve, but the obstacle to updating a deployed model is governance as much as accuracy: once retraining touches every parameter, no one can say afterwards where the update acted.

By Fatema Ferdous Tamanna, K. M. Merajul Arefin, Md. Abdul Masud
arXiv AI
Sep 15

Freezing the Physiological Encoder: Explanation Stability Under Bounded Updates of an ICU Model

The paper introduces a bounded updating framework for ICU prediction models that freezes the physiological encoder while allowing updates only to the treatment pathway and fusion head. Experiments on 84,792 MIMIC-IV ICU stays across four temporal shifts show that selective adaptation yields more stable explanations—higher rank correlation, better top‑5 feature agreement, and improved retrieval stability—compared to full model adaptation. Predictive performance varies by outcome, but the results demonstrate that explanation stability is governed by the structural boundaries of allowed adaptation rather than merely by freezing components.

By Fatema Ferdous Tamanna, K. M. Merajul Arefin, Md. Abdul Masud
arXiv AI
Jul 22

Biological Amnesia in ICU Time-Series Prediction: A Drift-Adaptive Two-Stream Architecture with Temporal Retrieval

arXiv:2607. 19020v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Background: Clinical decision support systems degrade silently as treatment protocols evolve, yet standard adaptation methods treat models as monolithic blocks, unable to distinguish stable patient physiology from shifting institutional practice.

By Fatema Ferdous Tamanna, K. M. Merajul Arefin, Md. Abdul Masud
arXiv AI
Sep 18

Correct Now, Insufficient Later: Auditing Update Sufficiency in Context Compression

The paper investigates how memory systems can answer a current query correctly yet fail to retain distinctions needed for later updates. Using a paired‑history audit, the authors evaluate 24 history pairs across six synthetic mechanisms and two model backends, achieving perfect reveal accuracy on DeepSeek and high accuracy on GLM. Record‑level audits reveal specific failures in structured reveal memories and frontier late‑reference adequacy, and the authors test a label‑equivariant repair that only partially restores correctness.

By Guangzhe Zhang
arXiv AI
Jul 17

Demographically-Conditioned Synthetic Medical Images for Bias Mitigation and Bias Detection in Disease Classifiers

arXiv:2607. 14984v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Per-subgroup fairness audits of medical image classifiers face a sample-size problem: minority subgroups in held-out test sets have so few samples that the resulting confidence intervals on per-subgroup performance are wider than the bias the audit is meant to detect.

By Mahmoud Ibrahim, Bart Elen, Chang Sun, Gokhan Ertaylan, Michel Dumontier
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

Discover, Falsify, Revise: Auditing Input-Use Claims from Source Code to Predictive Contribution in Agent-Discovered Cell Models

The paper introduces CELLAUDIT, a method for auditing whether inputs claimed to influence predictive models actually do so. By testing if an input can enter the computation, whether predictions depend on it, and if that dependence improves observed responses, the authors evaluate agent-generated predictors on a morphology‑transcriptomics benchmark (BBBC047). Their findings show that many models claim compound contributions that are not supported by the data, and that falsification‑guided revisions can recover genuine input effects while improving performance.

By Mengran Li, Bo Li, Chengyang Zhang, Yang Yan, Jinfeng Xu, Zhenchao Tang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

CalTwin: Towards Calibrated, Shift-Robust Medical World Models via Fisher-Information Regularisation

arXiv:2607. 26752v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Medical world models aim to learn a latent state of patient or organ physiology and a transition function that forecasts how that state evolves under interventions, supporting downstream tasks from imaging-based diagnosis to digital-twin treatment planning.

By Behraj Khan, Shabir Ahmad, Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari, Tahir Qasim Syed
arXiv AI
Sep 3

The Ceiling Is in the Channel: Auditing Learner Gaps and Measurement Frontiers in Clinical Prediction

The paper introduces a framework that distinguishes two causes of saturation in clinical prediction: a learner gap, where the model fails to use available information, and a measurement‑channel ceiling, where the recorded variables limit performance. It provides theoretical characterizations, finite‑sample diagnostics, and empirical audits across three large cohorts, showing that well‑tuned models approach the frontier while deficient learners leave large gaps. A PRISMA‑guided synthesis across 104 tasks reveals consistent channel‑level patterns, suggesting that improving the learner or the measurement channel can audit and potentially lift performance.

By Sayeed Shafayet Chowdhury, Nusrat Jahan, Snehasis Mukhopadhyay, Shiaofen Fang, Vijay R. Ramakrishnan