arXiv AI

Population-Aligned Persona Generation for LLM-based Social Simulation

arXiv AI
Jun 18

How Well Do Large Language Models Capture Human Personality?

arXiv:2606. 18263v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human populations via persona prompting, often under the assumptions that richer persona descriptions improve behavioral fidelity, similarly sized attribute combinations are equally simulatable, and persona definitions generalize across tasks.

By Aanisha Bhattacharyya, Yaman Kumar Singla, Rajiv Ratn Shah, Changyou Chen, Jitendra Ajmera
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 19

The Chameleon's Limit: Investigating Persona Collapse and Homogenization in Large Language Models

The paper introduces the concept of Persona Collapse, where large language models (LLMs) produce clustered, non-diverse responses in multi-agent simulations. It defines three diagnostic metrics—Coverage, Uniformity, and Complexity—to quantify this phenomenon across eight LLMs on tasks such as personality, moral reasoning, and self-introduction. Findings show that persona collapse is universal but varies by task, cannot be alleviated by sampling more personas, and that higher per-persona fidelity leads to more polarized populations, while persona-targeted fine-tuning further reduces diversity.

By Yunze Xiao, Vivienne J. Zhang, Chenghao Yang, Weihao Xuan, Jen-tse Huang
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Data-Driven Persona-Conditioned Agents for A/B Test Simulation

The paper introduces a simulation framework that uses large language model (LLM) agents conditioned on data‑driven personas to predict A/B test outcomes. These personas are built from anonymized user behavioral patterns, engagement signals, and inferred demographics, offering a more realistic population model than synthetic or rule‑based personas. The authors evaluate question design, persona data source, behavioral depth versus diversity, and population subsampling, achieving 0.75–0.90 directional accuracy on 40 real A/B tests.

By Ziyad Benomar, Weronika {\L}ajewska, Leonardo Perelli, Saab Mansour
arXiv AI
Aug 5

Emulate or Estimate? The Divergent Strengths of Base and Post-Trained Language Models for Opinion Simulation

arXiv:2608. 03044v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models are increasingly used to simulate human opinions, but prior work reports conflicting results: some studies find promising alignment with human survey data, while others find persona collapse and weak demographic sensitivity.

By Seth Grief-Albert, Jessica Bo, Difan Jiao, Ashton Anderson
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 23

PERSONAWEAVER: Controllable Diversity Beyond Conventional Archetypes in Procedural Character Generation

PERSONAWEAVER is a new approach to procedural character generation that separates world building from behavioral specification, using manually curated banks of moral positions and conversational reactions to diversify character behavior. By applying this method across ten realistic and fantastical settings and three large language models, the system produces broader moral and interactional response distributions, varied interpersonal language, response length, sentiment, and less archetypal world attribute combinations compared to prior work.

By Maan Qraitem, Kate Saenko, Bryan A. Plummer