arXiv AI

TimeThink: Eliciting Compositional Reasoning in Timeseries Large Language Models

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 9

Lapras: Latent Reasoning for Time Series Language Models

Lapras is a post‑training framework for Time Series Language Models that replaces explicit Chain‑of‑Thought reasoning with continuous latent thoughts in a joint time‑series‑language space. By self‑distilling from a teacher that generates textual rationales, the student model aligns its hidden states at the answer stage, transferring reasoning ability while producing only the final answer in text. Experiments on four TSLM backbones and five benchmarks show Lapras boosts average F1 by up to 10.79% over explicit CoT and reduces token generation by 23.9×, while still enabling readable reasoning traces through standard decoding.

By Yuliang Chen, Yu Yvonne Wu, Patrick Langer, Arvind Pillai, Sudarshan Regmi, Martin Maritsch, Juncheng Liu, Robert Jakob, Thomas Kaar, Tess Z. Griffin, Lisa Marsch, Michael V. Heinz, Nicholas C. Jacobson, Andrew Campbell
arXiv AI
Oct 19

CastFlow: Bridging Evidence Acquisition and Accurate Prediction in Agentic Time Series Forecasting

CastFlow is a role‑specialized agentic forecasting framework that combines general‑purpose tool reasoning with specialized temporal forecasting. It uses an Experience Memory to guide a frozen LLM in acquiring evidence via a multi‑view toolkit, then a lightweight specialized LLM refines predictions through evidence‑grounded reasoning. The two‑stage training strategy—supervised fine‑tuning followed by reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards—optimizes the specialized model based on final forecasting outcomes, achieving superior performance on nine out of ten real‑world benchmarks.

By Bokai Pan, Mingyue Cheng, Xiaoyu Tao, Zhiding Liu, Shuo Yu, Yuchong Wu, Qi Liu, Defu Lian, Enhong Chen
arXiv AI
Sep 11

KairosAgent: Agentic Time Series Forecasting with Fused Semantic Reasoning

KairosAgent is an agentic framework that combines a large language model (LLM) reasoner with a time series foundation model (TSFM) forecaster to tackle cross‑domain multimodal time series forecasting. It dynamically invokes analytical tools to improve the LLM’s numerical comprehension and semantic reasoning, then fuses the reasoning outcomes into the TSFM pipeline for more accurate predictions. The approach is further enhanced by a curated large‑scale trajectory corpus and a reinforcement learning paradigm with multi‑turn refinement and turn‑level credit assignment, achieving superior zero‑shot forecasting performance.

By Kun Feng, Ziwei Shan, Yuchen Fang, Yiyang Tan, Sihan Lu, Shuqi Gu, Xingyu Lu, Lintao Ma, Kan Ren
arXiv AI
Aug 5

CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen